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Private
Superforecasting Workshop
and
erikbays
ask:
What will be the 12-month percentage change in the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) for September 2021?
98 Forecasters • 210 Forecasts
Started
Mar 17, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Oct 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Lower than 1.7%
0%
Between 1.7% and 2.1%, inclusive
10%
Higher than 2.1% but lower than 2.7%
34%
Between 2.7% and 3.1%, inclusive
40%
Higher than 3.1%
16%
The Economist
and
Adam Grant
ask:
Will the percentage of Global Business Travel Association survey respondents planning to resume international business travel in the near future (next 1-3 months) reach 20% or higher before September 2021?
70%
Chance
408 Forecasters • 564 Forecasts
Started
Feb 24, 2021 09:30PM UTC
Closing
Aug 31, 2021 07:01AM UTC
The Economist
asks:
What will be the US civilian unemployment rate (U3) for August 2021?
110 Forecasters • 289 Forecasts
Started
Feb 19, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing
Sep 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Less than 5.4%
42%
Between 5.4% and 5.9%, inclusive
54%
More than 5.9% but less than 6.6%
4%
Between 6.6% and 7.1%, inclusive
0%
More than 7.1%
0%
What will be the closing yield for the 10-year US Treasury on 16 September 2021?
67 Forecasters • 243 Forecasts
Started
Feb 19, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing
Sep 16, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Less than 1.000
0%
Between 1.000 and 1.500, inclusive
3%
More than 1.500 but less than 2.000
67%
Between 2.000 and 2.500, inclusive
29%
More than 2.500
1%
The Economist
asks:
What will be China's year-on-year GDP growth rate for the second quarter of 2021?
268 Forecasters • 672 Forecasts
Started
Nov 27, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closing
Jul 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Less than 5.0%
0%
Between 5.0% and 6.0%, inclusive
6%
More than 6.0% but less than 7.0%
38%
Between 7.0% and 8.0%, inclusive
43%
More than 8.0%
13%
Balzac
asks:
Will the U.S. consume more energy from renewable sources in May 2021 than it did in May 2019, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA)?
98%
Chance
190 Forecasters • 367 Forecasts
Started
Nov 13, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closing
Jun 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Foxes Ask:
What will be the annual rate of housing starts for April 2021?
108 Forecasters • 596 Forecasts
Started
Oct 02, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing
May 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Less than 1.0 million
0%
Between 1.0 million and 1.2 million, inclusive
0%
More than 1.2 million but less than 1.4 million
0%
Between 1.4 million and 1.6 million, inclusive
46%
More than 1.6 million
54%
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