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Superforecasting® Workshops Challenge
Closing
Jan 01, 2025 08:01AM UTC
(8 months)
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Forecast on questions generated by participants of Good Judgment's public and private Superforecasting Workshops. For more information about workshops, please see:
Superforecasting Workshops
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Question
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Between 15 September 2023 and 30 April 2024, will Russia or Belarus publicly announce that it has moved a nuclear weapon or weapons into Ukraine?
Closed
May 01, 2024 01:00PM UTC
·
128
·
476
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Will Chinese property developer Country Garden default on any bond payments before 1 January 2024?
Closed
Oct 18, 2023 03:00PM UTC
·
49
·
153
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
What will be the closing yield for the Japanese 10-year bond on 29 December 2023?
Closed
Dec 29, 2023 11:00AM UTC
·
30
·
225
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Will Elon Musk and Mark Zuckerberg publicly engage in physical combat in an officiated setting before 1 February 2024?
Closed
Feb 01, 2024 03:00PM UTC
·
180
·
537
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
What will be the US domestic box office gross for the movie Barbie between and including 21 July 2023 and 6 August 2023, according to Box Office Mojo?
Closed
Jul 26, 2023 05:30AM UTC
·
56
·
96
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Will the administrative services building in Bakhmut, Ukraine, be under Ukrainian control on 8 August 2023, according to the Institute for the Study of War?
Closed
Aug 08, 2023 07:00PM UTC
·
83
·
215
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
What will be the closing value of shares of NVIDIA Corp (NVDA) on 8 August 2023?
Closed
Aug 08, 2023 08:00PM UTC
·
74
·
321
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
How many total travelers will the US Transportation Security Agency (TSA) screen in the first week (1st - 7th) of August 2023?
Closed
Aug 08, 2023 01:00PM UTC
·
58
·
167
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
What will be the national average price of a gallon of gasoline on 7 August 2023, according to the American Automobile Association (AAA)?
Closed
Aug 07, 2023 12:00PM UTC
·
67
·
297
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Which Major League Baseball team will be in first place in the National League's West Division (NL West) as of 6 August 2023?
Closed
Aug 05, 2023 04:55AM UTC
·
63
·
252
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