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What percentage of US retail sales will be made online in the fourth quarter of 2022?

14 Forecasters • 17 Forecasts
Started May 23, 2022 09:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Less than 13.5%
0%
Between 13.5% and 14.5%, inclusive
0%
More than 14.5% but less than 15.5%
82%
Between 15.5% and 16.5%, inclusive
16%
More than 16.5%
2%
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Between 20 May 2022 and 31 December 2022, will the 7-day rolling average of daily new confirmed cases of COVID-19 in China reach or exceed 100,000?

20%

Chance
25 Forecasters • 26 Forecasts
Started May 20, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Will the total monetary value of victim losses reported by the FBI's Internet Crime Complaint Center (IC3) for 2022 reach or exceed $9.0 billion?

80%

Chance
19 Forecasters • 24 Forecasts
Started May 20, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC

Will Gotabaya Rajapaksa cease to be the president of Sri Lanka before 20 July 2022?

30%

Chance
27 Forecasters • 36 Forecasts
Started May 20, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 20, 2022 07:01AM UTC
David Epstein asks:

Will the UK or EU trigger Article 16 of the Northern Ireland Protocol before 20 August 2022?

7%

Chance
27 Forecasters • 41 Forecasts
Started May 20, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Aug 20, 2022 07:01AM UTC
DippySkippy asks:

Which driver will win the 2022 Formula One World Drivers' Championship?

31 Forecasters • 37 Forecasts
Started May 20, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 20, 2022 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Lewis Hamilton
2%
Charles Leclerc
33%
Sergio Perez
2%
George Russell
0%
Carlos Sainz
1%
Max Verstappen
62%
Another driver
0%

Which of the following major cryptocurrencies will perform best between 19 May 2022 and 29 November 2022?

24 Forecasters • 35 Forecasts
Started May 20, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 29, 2022 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Bitcoin
41%
Cardano (Ada)
8%
Ethereum
39%
Solana
6%
XRP (Ripple)
6%

What will be the price of bitcoin on 20 August 2022?

39 Forecasters • 56 Forecasts
Started May 20, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Aug 20, 2022 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Less than 14,000.00
0%
Between 14,000.00 and 22,000.00, inclusive
8%
More than 22,000.00 but less than 30,000.00
29%
Between 30,000.00 and 38,000.00, inclusive
32%
More than 38,000.00 but less than 46,000.00
25%
Between 46,000.00 and 54,000.00, inclusive
6%
More than 54,000.00 but less than 62,000.00
0%
62,000.00 or more
0%
Maarten asks:

How far will the United States advance in the FIFA World Cup 2022?

69 Forecasters • 79 Forecasts
Started May 13, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 18, 2022 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Group Stage
45%
Round of 16
41%
Quarterfinals
13%
Semi-finals (3rd or 4th Place)
1%
Finals (1st or 2nd Place)
0%
Maarten asks:

Which country will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup?

62 Forecasters • 74 Forecasts
Started May 13, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 18, 2022 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Argentina
9%
Belgium
7%
Brazil
17%
England
11%
France
19%
Germany
11%
Netherlands
6%
Portugal
4%
Spain
10%
Another country
6%
No country will win the World Cup in 2022
0%
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