Status

Type

Sort By

Will the Scottish National Party win a majority of seats in the next Scottish Parliament election?

96%

Chance
46 Forecasters • 48 Forecasts
Started Jan 15, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing May 06, 2021 07:01AM UTC

Will Nicaragua diplomatically recognize the People's Republic of China before 7 November 2021?

8%

Chance
14 Forecasters • 16 Forecasts
Started Jan 15, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 07, 2021 07:01AM UTC
The Economist asks:

How many seats will the United Russia party win in the 2021 Russian State Duma elections?

26 Forecasters • 26 Forecasts
Started Jan 15, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Sep 19, 2021 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Fewer than 226 seats
0%
Between 226 seats and 299 seats
5%
300 seats or more
94%
Russian State Duma elections will not be held before 20 September 2021
1%
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Before 15 July 2021, will an election be held for Moldova's parliament?

15 Forecasters • 16 Forecasts
Started Jan 15, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 15, 2021 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Yes, and the PSRM will win the most seats
24%
Yes, and the PSRM will tie or not win the most
57%
No
19%
The Economist asks:

When will a new Dutch government be sworn in after the 2021 general election?

24 Forecasters • 27 Forecasts
Started Jan 15, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Sep 18, 2021 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Between 18 March 2021 and 17 June 2021
37%
Between 18 June 2021 and 17 September 2021
42%
Not before 18 September 2021
21%

Will a Russian senior government official or Russian naval vessel visit Nicaragua before 7 November 2021?

80%

Chance
17 Forecasters • 20 Forecasts
Started Jan 15, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 07, 2021 07:01AM UTC

What will Uber's end-of-day market capitalization be on 31 December 2021?

30 Forecasters • 39 Forecasts
Started Jan 15, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 31, 2021 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Less than $75 billion
6%
Between $75 billion and $100 billion, inclusive
14%
More than $100 billion but less than $125 billion
52%
Between $125 billion and $150 billion, inclusive
20%
More than $150 billion
8%
SE_Meyer asks:

Which NFL team will win Super Bowl LV?

68 Forecasters • 87 Forecasts
Started Jan 08, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Mar 08, 2021 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
The AFC Champion
55%
The NFC Champion
45%
No Super Bowl will be played before 8 March 2021
0%
The Economist asks:

Will North Macedonia announce that it has completed its census before 1 October 2021?

32%

Chance
38 Forecasters • 46 Forecasts
Started Jan 08, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC

Will the New START treaty be extended by Russia and the U.S. before 6 February 2021?

97%

Chance
74 Forecasters • 111 Forecasts
Started Jan 08, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Feb 06, 2021 08:01AM UTC
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username
Cancel