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Foxes Ask:
Will the UN declare that a famine exists in any part of a country in the Horn of Africa before 1 April 2023?
85%
Chance
23 Forecasters • 32 Forecasts
Started
Jun 24, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Apr 01, 2023 07:01AM UTC
What will the Italy-Germany 10-year bond spread be on 16 December 2022?
13 Forecasters • 16 Forecasts
Started
Jun 24, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Dec 16, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Less than 1.00%
0%
Between 1.00% and 1.50%, inclusive
5%
More than 1.50% but less than 2.00%
17%
Between 2.00% and 2.50%, inclusive
28%
More than 2.50% but less than 3.00%
32%
Between 3.00% and 3.50%, inclusive
15%
More than 3.50%
3%
What will be the market capitalization for the global cryptocurrency market on 2 December 2022, according to CoinMarketCap?
24 Forecasters • 30 Forecasts
Started
Jun 24, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Dec 02, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Less than $400 billion
1%
Between $400 billion and $800 billion, inclusive
35%
More than $800 billion but less than $1.2 trillion
49%
Between $1.2 trillion and $1.6 trillion, inclusive
15%
More than $1.6 trillion but less than $2.0 trillion
0%
Between $2.0 trillion and $2.4 trillion, inclusive
0%
More than $2.4 trillion
0%
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
How many travelers will the US Transportation Security Agency (TSA) screen in December 2022?
18 Forecasters • 25 Forecasts
Started
Jun 24, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Fewer than 50 million
0%
Between 50 million and 55 million, inclusive
0%
More than 55 million but fewer than 60 million
6%
Between 60 million and 65 million, inclusive
47%
More than 65 million but fewer than 70 million
42%
Between 70 million and 75 million, inclusive
5%
More than 75 million
0%
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
What will be the national average price of a gallon of gasoline on 8 November 2022, according to the American Automobile Association (AAA)?
18 Forecasters • 23 Forecasts
Started
Jun 24, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Nov 08, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Less than $3.00
0%
Between $3.00 and $3.50, inclusive
0%
More than $3.50 but less than $4.00
0%
Between $4.00 and $4.50, inclusive
35%
More than $4.50 but less than $5.00
40%
Between $5.00 and $5.50, inclusive
25%
More than $5.50 but less than $6.00
0%
Between $6.00 and $6.50, inclusive
0%
More than $6.50
0%
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
How many US House seats will Republicans win in the 2022 midterm elections?
32 Forecasters • 49 Forecasts
Started
Jun 24, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Nov 09, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Fewer than 207
0%
Between 207 and 217
6%
Between 218 and 228
49%
Between 229 and 239
38%
Between 240 and 250
7%
More than 250
0%
Who will win the election for New York's 22nd Congressional District in 2022?
17 Forecasters • 17 Forecasts
Started
Jun 17, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Nov 09, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
The Democratic Party candidate
46%
The Republican Party candidate
55%
Someone else
0%
Who will win the election for New York's 19th Congressional District in 2022?
19 Forecasters • 29 Forecasts
Started
Jun 17, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Nov 09, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
The Democratic Party candidate
45%
The Republican Party candidate
55%
Someone else
0%
What will be the closing spot price for US natural gas on 23 December 2022?
27 Forecasters • 43 Forecasts
Started
Jun 17, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Dec 23, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Less than 4.00
0%
Between 4.00 and 5.50, inclusive
0%
More than 5.50 but less than 7.00
7%
Between 7.00 and 8.50, inclusive
29%
More than 8.50 but less than 10.00
26%
Between 10.00 and 11.50, inclusive
24%
More than 11.50 but less than 13.00
7%
Between 13.00 and 14.50, inclusive
7%
More than 14.50
0%
What will be the closing value of the US dollar/Japanese yen exchange rate on 16 December 2022?
21 Forecasters • 32 Forecasts
Started
Jun 17, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Dec 16, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Lower than 100.00
0%
Between 100.00 and 110.00, inclusive
0%
Higher than 110.00 but lower than 120.00
7%
Between 120.00 and 130.00, inclusive
41%
Higher than 130.00 but lower than 140.00
32%
Between 140.00 and 150.00, inclusive
19%
Higher than 150.00 but lower than 160.00
1%
160.00 or more
0%
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