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How many U.S. adult and pediatric hospital admissions with confirmed COVID-19 cases will there be for the week ending 27 March 2021?

3 Forecasters • 3 Forecasts
Started Mar 03, 2021 07:00PM UTC
Closing Mar 27, 2021 07:01AM UTC
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Fewer than 15,000
0%
Between 15,000 and 25,000, inclusive
0%
More than 25,000 but fewer than 35,000
29%
Between 35,000 and 45,000, inclusive
71%
More than 45,000 but fewer than 55,000
0%
Between 55,000 and 65,000, inclusive
0%
More than 65,000 but fewer than 75,000
0%
Between 75,000 and 85,000, inclusive
0%
More than 85,000 but fewer than 95,000
0%
95,000 or more
0%

How many confirmed cases of COVID-19 in the U.S. will be reported for the week ending 27 March 2021?

11 Forecasters • 12 Forecasts
Started Mar 03, 2021 07:00PM UTC
Closing Mar 27, 2021 07:01AM UTC
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Fewer than 100,000
0%
Between 100,000 and 200,000, inclusive
8%
More than 200,000 but fewer than 300,000
39%
Between 300,000 and 400,000, inclusive
53%
More than 400,000 but fewer than 500,000
0%
Between 500,000 and 600,000, inclusive
0%
More than 600,000 but fewer than 700,000
0%
Between 700,000 and 800,000, inclusive
0%
More than 800,000 but fewer than 900,000
0%
900,000 or more
0%

How many people in the U.S. will have received one or more doses of a COVID-19 vaccine as of 31 March 2021, according to the CDC?

16 Forecasters • 17 Forecasts
Started Mar 03, 2021 07:00PM UTC
Closing Mar 31, 2021 07:01AM UTC
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Fewer than 70,000,000
0%
Between 70,000,000 and 75,000,000, inclusive
0%
More than 75,000,000 but fewer than 80,000,000
0%
Between 80,000,000 and 85,000,000, inclusive
7%
More than 85,000,000 but fewer than 90,000,000
35%
Between 90,000,000 and 95,000,000, inclusive
47%
More than 95,000,000 but fewer than 100,000,000
11%
Between 100,000,000 and 105,000,000, inclusive
0%
More than 105,000,000 but fewer than 110,000,000
0%
Between 110,000,000 and 115,000,000, inclusive
0%
More than 115,000,000
0%

How many deaths attributed to COVID-19 in the U.S. will be reported for the week ending 27 March 2021?

11 Forecasters • 12 Forecasts
Started Mar 03, 2021 07:00PM UTC
Closing Mar 27, 2021 07:01AM UTC
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Fewer than 4,000
6%
Between 4,000 and 6,000, inclusive
29%
More than 6,000 but fewer than 8,000
39%
Between 8,000 and 10,000, inclusive
26%
More than 10,000 but fewer than 12,000
0%
Between 12,000 and 14,000 inclusive
0%
More than 14,000 but fewer than 16,000
0%
Between 16,000 and 18,000 inclusive
0%
More than 18,000 but fewer than 20,000
0%
20,000 or more
0%
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Will the People's Republic of China's (PRC's) military expenditure as a percentage of GDP be greater in 2021 than it was in 2019?

74%

Chance
51 Forecasters • 69 Forecasts
Started Feb 26, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
The Mercator Institute for China Studies (MERICS) asks:

Will France grant the China Global Television Network (CGTN) a license to broadcast in France before 1 January 2022?

44%

Chance
27 Forecasters • 38 Forecasts
Started Feb 26, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Adam Grant asks:

Before 15 August 2021, will Alexei Navalny be convicted on any fraud charges related to his activities with his non-profit organizations?

60%

Chance
140 Forecasters • 169 Forecasts
Started Feb 24, 2021 09:30PM UTC
Closing Aug 15, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Adam Grant asks:

For how many weeks will Adam Grant's "Think Again" be on the New York Times Best Sellers list for Combined Print & E-Book Nonfiction between 21 February 2021 and 11 July 2021?

87 Forecasters • 100 Forecasts
Started Feb 24, 2021 09:30PM UTC
Closing Jul 04, 2021 07:01AM UTC
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Fewer than 4
3%
Between 4 and 8
48%
Between 9 and 13
35%
Between 14 and 18
11%
More than 18
3%
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