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Adam Grant asks:

Before 1 August 2021, will legislation authorizing or enabling an extension or replacement of the CDC's nationwide eviction moratorium past 31 July 2021 become law?

0%

Chance
76 Forecasters • 151 Forecasts
Started Jul 02, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closed Aug 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Will New Zealand's AgResearch report having a net annual financial surplus (pretax) in its 2020/21 fiscal year?

85%

Chance
33 Forecasters • 70 Forecasts
Started May 21, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jul 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Tolga asks:

Will the presidents of Russia and Ukraine meet in person before 1 August 2021?

113 Forecasters • 297 Forecasts
Started Apr 30, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closed Aug 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Yes, in either Russia or Ukraine
0%
Yes, somewhere other than Russia or Ukraine
0%
No
100%
Adam Grant and Tim Harford ask:

What will be Saudi Arabia's crude oil production for July 2021, according to OPEC?

157 Forecasters • 558 Forecasts
Started Apr 09, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closed Aug 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Less than 8,000 tb/d
0%
Between 8,000 tb/d and 8,500 tb/d, inclusive
0%
More than 8,500 tb/d but less than 9,000 tb/d
2%
Between 9,000 tb/d and 9,500 tb/d, inclusive
88%
More than 9,500 tb/d
10%
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Will Russia conduct a flight test of an RS-28 Sarmat ICBM before 1 August 2021?

0%

Chance
134 Forecasters • 600 Forecasts
Started Jan 22, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closed Aug 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Balzac asks:

Will the U.S. consume more energy from renewable sources in May 2021 than it did in May 2019, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA)?

98%

Chance
200 Forecasters • 440 Forecasts
Started Nov 13, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jun 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC

How can we all, as forecasters, disagree without being disagreeable?

Discuss
36 Commenters • 157 Comments
Started Nov 10, 2020 10:12PM UTC
Closed Jan 15, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Adam Grant asks:

What will be the delinquency rate on commercial real estate loans (excluding farmland) in the United States in the second quarter of 2021?

291 Forecasters • 904 Forecasts
Started Oct 02, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jul 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Less than 2.00%
96%
Between 2.00% and 4.00%, inclusive
4%
More than 4.00% but less than 6.00%
0%
Between 6.00% and 8.00%, inclusive
0%
More than 8.00%
0%

Are there any forecasting tips, tricks, and experiences you would like to share and/or discuss with your fellow forecasters?

Discuss
76 Commenters • 547 Comments
Started Sep 04, 2020 07:01PM UTC
Closed Jun 30, 2021 06:59AM UTC
The Mack Institute asks:

How many Cybertrucks will Tesla deliver to customers in 2022?

178 Forecasters • 546 Forecasts
Started Aug 21, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jul 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Fewer than 25,000
80%
Between 25,000 and 100,000, inclusive
20%
More than 100,000 but fewer than 175,000
0%
Between 175,000 and 250,000, inclusive
0%
More than 250,000
0%
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