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How can we all, as forecasters, disagree without being disagreeable?

Discuss
36 Commenters • 157 Comments
Started Nov 10, 2020 10:12PM UTC
Closed Jan 15, 2021 05:00PM UTC
The Mack Institute asks:

How many new energy vehicles (NEVs) will be sold in China in 2020?

89 Forecasters • 302 Forecasts
Started Jul 10, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 31, 2020 10:59PM UTC
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Fewer than 800,000
0%
Between 800,000 and 950,000, inclusive
0%
More than 950,000 but less than 1,100,000
0%
Between 1,100,000 and 1,250,000, inclusive
62%
More than 1,250,000
38%

Will there be 12 or more Chapter 9 municipal bankruptcy filings in 2020?

0%

Chance
182 Forecasters • 565 Forecasts
Started May 21, 2020 08:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2021 08:01AM UTC
The Dubai Future Experts Candidates ask:

Will the United Arab Emirates (UAE) be ranked higher than 21st in the Global Food Security Index Rankings for 2020?

96%

Chance
70 Forecasters • 171 Forecasts
Started May 21, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2021 08:01AM UTC
The Dubai Future Experts Candidates ask:

Will the unemployment rate for the United Arab Emirates (UAE) exceed 5.00% in 2020?

1%

Chance
126 Forecasters • 353 Forecasts
Started May 21, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2021 08:01AM UTC
The Dubai Future Experts Candidates ask:

Where will Dubai International Airport (DXB) rank among the busiest airports in the world by passenger number for 2020, according to the Airports Council International (ACI)?

64 Forecasters • 369 Forecasts
Started May 21, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2021 08:01AM UTC
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1st to 3rd
0%
4th to 6th
2%
7th to 9th
14%
10th or lower
84%
The Mack Institute asks:

What will be the 2020 industry-wide average cost of Li-ion batteries used in battery-powered electric vehicles?

132 Forecasters • 353 Forecasts
Started Apr 02, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 31, 2020 10:59PM UTC
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Less than $115 per kWh
0%
Between $115 and $130 per kWh, inclusive
1%
More than $130 but less than $145 per kWh
97%
Between $145 and $160 per kWh, inclusive
2%
More than $160 per kWh
0%
The Mack Institute asks:

How many total Fast Charge (>22kW) public charging points for electric vehicles will be installed in the European Union in 2020?

148 Forecasters • 440 Forecasts
Started Apr 02, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 31, 2020 10:59PM UTC
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Less than 18,000
0%
Between 18,000 and 22,000, inclusive
2%
More than 22,000 but less than 26,000
98%
Between 26,000 and 30,000, inclusive
0%
More than 30,000
0%
The Mack Institute asks:

How many R2X vehicles will Nuro produce in 2020?

116 Forecasters • 394 Forecasts
Started Apr 02, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 31, 2020 10:59PM UTC
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Less than 100
99%
Between 100 and 500, inclusive
1%
More than 500
0%
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