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How can we all, as forecasters, disagree without being disagreeable?
Discuss
36 Commenters • 157 Comments
Started
Nov 10, 2020 10:12PM UTC
Closed
Jan 15, 2021 05:00PM UTC
At close of business on 27 January 2021, will the upper limit of the Federal Reserve's target range for the federal funds rate be lower, the same, or higher than it was at close of business on 16 December 2020?
114 Forecasters • 196 Forecasts
Started
Sep 18, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closed
Jan 27, 2021 08:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Lower
0%
Same
100%
Higher
0%
The
Mack Institute
asks:
How many new energy vehicles (NEVs) will be sold in China in 2020?
89 Forecasters • 302 Forecasts
Started
Jul 10, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closed
Dec 31, 2020 10:59PM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Fewer than 800,000
0%
Between 800,000 and 950,000, inclusive
0%
More than 950,000 but less than 1,100,000
0%
Between 1,100,000 and 1,250,000, inclusive
62%
More than 1,250,000
38%
Will there be 12 or more Chapter 9 municipal bankruptcy filings in 2020?
0%
Chance
182 Forecasters • 565 Forecasts
Started
May 21, 2020 08:00PM UTC
Closed
Jan 01, 2021 08:01AM UTC
The
Dubai Future Experts Candidates
ask:
Will the United Arab Emirates (UAE) be ranked higher than 21st in the Global Food Security Index Rankings for 2020?
96%
Chance
70 Forecasters • 171 Forecasts
Started
May 21, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closed
Jan 01, 2021 08:01AM UTC
The
Dubai Future Experts Candidates
ask:
Will the unemployment rate for the United Arab Emirates (UAE) exceed 5.00% in 2020?
1%
Chance
126 Forecasters • 353 Forecasts
Started
May 21, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closed
Jan 01, 2021 08:01AM UTC
The
Dubai Future Experts Candidates
ask:
Where will Dubai International Airport (DXB) rank among the busiest airports in the world by passenger number for 2020, according to the Airports Council International (ACI)?
64 Forecasters • 369 Forecasts
Started
May 21, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closed
Jan 01, 2021 08:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
1st to 3rd
0%
4th to 6th
2%
7th to 9th
14%
10th or lower
84%
The
Mack Institute
asks:
What will be the 2020 industry-wide average cost of Li-ion batteries used in battery-powered electric vehicles?
132 Forecasters • 353 Forecasts
Started
Apr 02, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closed
Dec 31, 2020 10:59PM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Less than $115 per kWh
0%
Between $115 and $130 per kWh, inclusive
1%
More than $130 but less than $145 per kWh
97%
Between $145 and $160 per kWh, inclusive
2%
More than $160 per kWh
0%
The
Mack Institute
asks:
How many total Fast Charge (>22kW) public charging points for electric vehicles will be installed in the European Union in 2020?
148 Forecasters • 440 Forecasts
Started
Apr 02, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closed
Dec 31, 2020 10:59PM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Less than 18,000
0%
Between 18,000 and 22,000, inclusive
2%
More than 22,000 but less than 26,000
98%
Between 26,000 and 30,000, inclusive
0%
More than 30,000
0%
The
Mack Institute
asks:
How many R2X vehicles will Nuro produce in 2020?
116 Forecasters • 394 Forecasts
Started
Apr 02, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closed
Dec 31, 2020 10:59PM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Less than 100
99%
Between 100 and 500, inclusive
1%
More than 500
0%
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