Toggle navigation
Blog
Challenges
Sign In
Sign Up
Challenges
Questions
Status
Voided
Coming Soon
Active
Pending Resolution
Resolved
Suspended
Type
all
All
Forecasting Questions
Discussion Questions
Sort By
Start Date
End Date
Number of Predictions
Alphabetically
Filter By
Featured Questions
Questions I'm Following
Questions I've Forecasted
Questions I've Not Forecasted
Challenges
Select All
Not Part of a Challenge
(3)
only
2022 US Midterm Electi... (29)
only
Coronavirus Outbreak (6)
only
Dubai Future Experts C... (7)
only
Foxes Ask (25)
only
Inflation Challenge (37)
only
In the News 2022 (186)
only
Noise: A GJ Open Forec... (5)
only
Range: A GJ Open Forec... (24)
only
Russia-Ukraine Conflict (27)
only
Superforecasting® Work... (36)
only
The Economist: The Wor... (23)
only
The Good Question Chal... (3)
only
The Sky News Challenge (3)
only
Wharton Future of Work... (4)
only
Show more
Tags
Select All
No Tags
(2)
only
Business (86)
only
Society (52)
only
Non-US Politics (49)
only
Technology (48)
only
US Politics (48)
only
Security and Conflict (41)
only
Economic Indicators (38)
only
Foreign Policy (38)
only
Leader Entry/Exit (38)
only
Elections and Referenda (37)
only
US Policy (37)
only
Finance (28)
only
Health (24)
only
Economic Policy (19)
only
Entertainment (9)
only
Environment (9)
only
Sports (9)
only
Open (6)
only
Show more
The
Wharton Future of Work Conference
asks:
What percentage of US job postings on LinkedIn will be for either "Hybrid" and/or "Remote" positions on 1 March 2023?
229 Forecasters • 265 Forecasts
Started
Apr 06, 2022 04:00PM UTC
Closing
Mar 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Lower than 10.0%
0%
Between 10.0% and 15.0%, inclusive
7%
Higher than 15.0% but lower than 20.0%
25%
Between 20.0% and 25.0%, inclusive
32%
Higher than 25.0%
36%
Will President Biden declare an end to the global chip shortage before 31 November 2022?
5%
Chance
46 Forecasters • 50 Forecasts
Started
Apr 01, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Dec 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Will the European Central Bank (ECB) announce it will discontinue its monthly net asset purchases under its Asset purchase program (APP) before 10 June 2022?
80%
Chance
26 Forecasters • 36 Forecasts
Started
Mar 18, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Jun 10, 2022 07:01AM UTC
Will the closing price of a barrel of Brent crude oil be higher on 3 June 2022 than it was on 8 March 2022?
15%
Chance
57 Forecasters • 72 Forecasts
Started
Mar 15, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Jun 03, 2022 07:01AM UTC
Before 1 May 2022, will the United States announce the imposition of sanctions directly on Russian President Vladimir Putin?
100%
Chance
27 Forecasters • 30 Forecasts
Started
Feb 25, 2022 06:00PM UTC
Closed
May 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
Tim Harford
asks:
As of 15 December 2021, what will be the price of the Dutch TTF Gas Futures contract for January 2022?
47 Forecasters • 260 Forecasts
Started
Oct 08, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closed
Dec 15, 2021 08:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Less than €50.000
0%
Between €50.000 and €80.000, inclusive
0%
More than €80.000 but less than €110.000
24%
Between €110.000 and €140.000, inclusive
76%
More than €140.000
0%
What will be the total value of assets under management by global sustainable funds at the end of 2021, according to Morningstar?
56 Forecasters • 116 Forecasts
Started
Sep 03, 2021 04:00AM UTC
Closed
Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Less than $2,250 billion
0%
Between $2,250 and $2,500 billion, inclusive
0%
More than $2,500 but less than $2,750 billion
0%
Between $2,750 and $3,000 billion, inclusive
22%
More than $3,000 billion but less than $3,250 billion
24%
$3,250 billion or more
54%
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
How many fatal COVID-19 vaccine breakthrough cases will be reported to the CDC as of 10 January 2022?
60 Forecasters • 279 Forecasts
Started
Aug 06, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closed
Jan 10, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Fewer than 6,000
0%
Between 6,000 and 12,000, inclusive
0%
More than 12,000 but fewer than 18,000
50%
Between 18,000 and 24,000, inclusive
49%
More than 24,000 but fewer than 30,000
1%
30,000 or more
0%
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Before 1 January 2023, will the Afghan government and the Afghan Taliban sign an agreement that includes provisions for the establishment and/or recognition of a national government?
0%
Chance
100 Forecasters • 336 Forecasts
Started
Jul 30, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
The Economist
asks:
Will the US FDA approve a drug used to reverse the effects of Alzheimer's disease on the brain and/or approve a vaccine to prevent Alzheimer's disease as of 2035?
80%
Chance
175 Forecasters • 220 Forecasts
Started
Jun 27, 2021 03:00AM UTC
Closed
Oct 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
1
2
3
4
5
Next ›
Last »
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username
Publish Anonymously
Cancel