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The Wharton Future of Work Conference asks:

What percentage of US job postings on LinkedIn will be for either "Hybrid" and/or "Remote" positions on 1 March 2023?

229 Forecasters • 265 Forecasts
Started Apr 06, 2022 04:00PM UTC
Closing Mar 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
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Lower than 10.0%
0%
Between 10.0% and 15.0%, inclusive
7%
Higher than 15.0% but lower than 20.0%
25%
Between 20.0% and 25.0%, inclusive
32%
Higher than 25.0%
36%

Will President Biden declare an end to the global chip shortage before 31 November 2022?

5%

Chance
46 Forecasters • 50 Forecasts
Started Apr 01, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC

Will the European Central Bank (ECB) announce it will discontinue its monthly net asset purchases under its Asset purchase program (APP) before 10 June 2022?

80%

Chance
26 Forecasters • 36 Forecasts
Started Mar 18, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jun 10, 2022 07:01AM UTC

Will the closing price of a barrel of Brent crude oil be higher on 3 June 2022 than it was on 8 March 2022?

15%

Chance
57 Forecasters • 72 Forecasts
Started Mar 15, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jun 03, 2022 07:01AM UTC

Before 1 May 2022, will the United States announce the imposition of sanctions directly on Russian President Vladimir Putin?

100%

Chance
27 Forecasters • 30 Forecasts
Started Feb 25, 2022 06:00PM UTC
Closed May 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
Tim Harford asks:

As of 15 December 2021, what will be the price of the Dutch TTF Gas Futures contract for January 2022?

47 Forecasters • 260 Forecasts
Started Oct 08, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 15, 2021 08:01AM UTC
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Less than €50.000
0%
Between €50.000 and €80.000, inclusive
0%
More than €80.000 but less than €110.000
24%
Between €110.000 and €140.000, inclusive
76%
More than €140.000
0%

What will be the total value of assets under management by global sustainable funds at the end of 2021, according to Morningstar?

56 Forecasters • 116 Forecasts
Started Sep 03, 2021 04:00AM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
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Less than $2,250 billion
0%
Between $2,250 and $2,500 billion, inclusive
0%
More than $2,500 but less than $2,750 billion
0%
Between $2,750 and $3,000 billion, inclusive
22%
More than $3,000 billion but less than $3,250 billion
24%
$3,250 billion or more
54%
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

How many fatal COVID-19 vaccine breakthrough cases will be reported to the CDC as of 10 January 2022?

60 Forecasters • 279 Forecasts
Started Aug 06, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 10, 2022 08:01AM UTC
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Fewer than 6,000
0%
Between 6,000 and 12,000, inclusive
0%
More than 12,000 but fewer than 18,000
50%
Between 18,000 and 24,000, inclusive
49%
More than 24,000 but fewer than 30,000
1%
30,000 or more
0%
The Economist asks:

Will the US FDA approve a drug used to reverse the effects of Alzheimer's disease on the brain and/or approve a vaccine to prevent Alzheimer's disease as of 2035?

80%

Chance
175 Forecasters • 220 Forecasts
Started Jun 27, 2021 03:00AM UTC
Closed Oct 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
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