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The Mack Institute and The Economist ask

Before 1 January 2020, will the registration deadline for Germany's ownership tax exemption for fully-electric vehicles be extended beyond 2020?

92%

Chance
13 Forecasters • 21 Forecasts
Started Feb 15, 2019 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2020 07:59AM UTC
The Economist asks

Will voter turnout for the 2019 European Parliament elections set a record low?

30%

Chance
74 Forecasters • 112 Forecasts
Started Jan 25, 2019 06:00PM UTC
Closing May 23, 2019 06:59AM UTC
Nesta asks

What will be the percentage change in average UK house prices over the 12-month period to September 2019?

70 Forecasters • 101 Forecasts
Started Jan 24, 2019 05:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 01, 2019 06:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Less than -3.0%
22%
Between -3.0% and -1.0%, inclusive
32%
More than -1.0% but less than 1.0%
27%
Between 1.0% and 3.0%, inclusive
12%
More than 3.0%
7%
  Fareed Zakaria GPS asks

Will Justin Trudeau cease to be prime minister of Canada after the next federal election?

20%

Chance
199 Forecasters • 257 Forecasts
Started Jan 18, 2019 06:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 16, 2019 07:59AM UTC
 Fareed Zakaria GPS asks

Before 1 January 2020, will any EU member state besides the UK set a date for a referendum on leaving the EU or the eurozone?

5%

Chance
1383 Forecasters • 1558 Forecasts
Started Jan 04, 2019 10:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2020 07:59AM UTC
  Fareed Zakaria GPS asks

Will Bashar al-Assad cease to be president of Syria before 1 January 2020?

5%

Chance
1366 Forecasters • 1571 Forecasts
Started Jan 04, 2019 10:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2020 07:59AM UTC

Before 1 January 2020, will the UK and the EU adopt an agreement on which customs territory Northern Ireland will be located in after the end of any Brexit transition period?

87 Forecasters • 136 Forecasts
Started Dec 21, 2018 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2020 07:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
No
52%
Yes, the United Kingdom's customs territory only
16%
Yes, the European Union's customs territory only
4%
Yes, a single customs territory that includes both the European Union and the United Kingdom
28%
The Economist asks

Will China's National People's Congress or its Standing Committee pass a property tax law before 1 October 2019?

14%

Chance
120 Forecasters • 192 Forecasts
Started Dec 21, 2018 06:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 01, 2019 06:59AM UTC

When will Nicolas Maduro cease to be president of Venezuela?

142 Forecasters • 440 Forecasts
Started Dec 21, 2018 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2020 07:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Before 1 April 2019
29%
Between 1 April 2019 and 30 June 2019, inclusive
23%
Between 1 July 2019 and 30 September 2019, inclusive
13%
Between 1 October 2019 and 31 December 2019, inclusive
8%
Not before 1 January 2020
27%
The Economist   Fareed Zakaria GPS asks

Will Narendra Modi be appointed to a second consecutive term as prime minister of India after the 2019 general elections?

70%

Chance
957 Forecasters • 1097 Forecasts
Started Dec 21, 2018 06:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 01, 2019 06:59AM UTC