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Before 1 July 2021, will the Chilean government pass legislation that caps administrative fees and/or operating profits of the country's pension fund managers?

38%

Chance
10 Forecasters • 14 Forecasts
Started Dec 04, 2019 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 01, 2021 06:59AM UTC

Before 1 July 2021, will the Chilean government pass legislation nationalizing private pension fund assets?

18%

Chance
9 Forecasters • 16 Forecasts
Started Dec 04, 2019 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 01, 2021 06:59AM UTC
The Economist asks

Before 1 February 2020, will Ukraine adopt a new law giving or extending Donbas special status for local self-government?

65%

Chance
56 Forecasters • 82 Forecasts
Started Nov 22, 2019 06:00PM UTC
Closing Feb 01, 2020 07:59AM UTC

When will Lebanon's parliament give a vote of confidence to a new government?

24 Forecasters • 46 Forecasts
Started Nov 15, 2019 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 01, 2020 06:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Before 1 January 2020
1%
Between 1 January and 29 February 2020
2%
Between 1 March and 30 April 2020
21%
Between 1 May and 30 June 2020
21%
Not before 1 July 2020
55%

Before 1 February 2020, will the United Kingdom leave the European Union?

112 Forecasters • 197 Forecasts
Started Nov 01, 2019 05:00PM UTC
Closing Feb 01, 2020 07:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Yes, with a Withdrawal Agreement with the EU in force
53%
Yes, without a Withdrawal Agreement with the EU in force
11%
No, with the UK revoking its invocation of Article 50
5%
No, without the UK revoking its invocation of Article 50
31%
Nesta asks

Will a political party gain an overall majority of seats in the House of Commons at the next UK General Election?

235 Forecasters • 545 Forecasts
Started Oct 30, 2019 04:30PM UTC
Closing Dec 12, 2019 07:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Yes, the Conservative Party
66%
Yes, the Labour Party
2%
Yes, a political party not listed above
1%
No political party will gain an overall majority
31%

Will Algeria hold a presidential election on 12 December 2019?

28 Forecasters • 127 Forecasts
Started Oct 18, 2019 05:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 12, 2019 07:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Yes, and a candidate who is a member of the National Liberation Front (FLN) party will receive the most votes
60%
Yes, and a candidate who is not a member of the National Liberation Front (FLN) party will receive the most votes
40%
No
0%

Before 18 April 2020, will former Catalan President Carles Puigdemont return to Spain?

4%

Chance
46 Forecasters • 78 Forecasts
Started Oct 18, 2019 05:00PM UTC
Closing Apr 18, 2020 06:59AM UTC

Before 15 March 2020, will the parliament of New Zealand pass a bill that would create a national gun register?

71%

Chance
45 Forecasters • 95 Forecasts
Started Oct 11, 2019 05:00PM UTC
Closing Mar 15, 2020 06:59AM UTC
lekker asks:

Between 4 October 2019 and 31 December 2019, will anti-government protests in Hong Kong result in three or more fatalities?

60%

Chance
136 Forecasters • 473 Forecasts
Started Oct 04, 2019 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2020 07:59AM UTC