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CJH asks:

Following the 2021 German Bundestag elections, which parties will be part of the new government?

21 Forecasters • 33 Forecasts
Started Apr 16, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Sep 26, 2021 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
The CDU but not the Green Party
15%
The Green Party but not the CDU
16%
Both the CDU and the Green Party
57%
Neither the CDU nor the Green Party
0%
No government will be formed before 31 December 2021
12%
Adam Grant asks:

What will be Saudi Arabia's crude oil production for July 2021, according to OPEC?

57 Forecasters • 68 Forecasts
Started Apr 09, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Aug 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Less than 8,000 tb/d
0%
Between 8,000 tb/d and 8,500 tb/d, inclusive
2%
More than 8,500 tb/d but less than 9,000 tb/d
17%
Between 9,000 tb/d and 9,500 tb/d, inclusive
36%
More than 9,500 tb/d
45%
Adam Grant and 024_andrew and ask:

Will Scott Morrison cease to be prime minister of Australia before 1 September 2021?

5%

Chance
106 Forecasters • 132 Forecasts
Started Apr 02, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Sep 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
The Economist asks:

Will Berlin's Humboldt Forum open to the general public before 1 August 2021?

36%

Chance
50 Forecasters • 87 Forecasts
Started Apr 02, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Aug 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Adam Grant asks:

Before 15 August 2021, will Alexei Navalny be convicted on any fraud charges related to his activities with his non-profit organizations?

25%

Chance
427 Forecasters • 697 Forecasts
Started Feb 24, 2021 09:30PM UTC
Closing Aug 15, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Private Superforecasting Workshop and erikbays ask:

Before 1 January 2022, will the U.S. officially rejoin the JCPOA?

60%

Chance
87 Forecasters • 303 Forecasts
Started Feb 12, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
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