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Will pro-democracy candidates win a Legislative Council majority in Hong Kong's next legislative election?

124 Forecasters • 224 Forecasts
Started Jul 17, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2021 07:59AM UTC
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Yes
0%
No
0%
No election will be held in 2020
100%

Who will win the 2020 Bolivian presidential election?

50 Forecasters • 100 Forecasts
Started Jul 17, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2021 07:59AM UTC
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Jeanine Áñez
3%
Luis Arce
45%
Carlos Mesa
7%
Someone else
0%
No election will be held in 2020
45%

Will the Union Solidarity and Development Party (USDP) win more total Assembly seats in Myanmar's 2020 election than it did in the 2015 election?

32 Forecasters • 49 Forecasts
Started Jul 17, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2021 07:59AM UTC
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Yes
75%
No
25%
No election will be held in 2020
0%
Foxes Ask:

Will Israel's Knesset pass a bill to annex and/or apply sovereignty over any West Bank territory before 1 January 2021?

35%

Chance
74 Forecasters • 206 Forecasts
Started Jun 19, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2021 07:59AM UTC

Before 1 January 2021, who will be elected to be the next leader of Germany's Christian Democratic Union (CDU) party?

59 Forecasters • 143 Forecasts
Started Jun 19, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2021 07:59AM UTC
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Armin Laschet
16%
Friedrich Merz
22%
Norbert Röttgen
6%
Someone else
41%
A new leader will not be elected before 1 January 2021
15%
The Economist asks:

Before 29 August 2020, will the German Bundesbank be barred from participating in the European Central Bank's (ECB's) PSPP quantitative easing program?

0%

Chance
141 Forecasters • 232 Forecasts
Started Jun 05, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Aug 29, 2020 06:59AM UTC
Foxes Ask:

Will the Council of the European Union make an Article 7.1 determination against Hungary before 31 December 2020?

4%

Chance
152 Forecasters • 351 Forecasts
Started Apr 17, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2021 07:59AM UTC
Foxes Ask:

How many seats will the New Patriotic Party win in Ghana's 2020 parliamentary elections?

54 Forecasters • 169 Forecasts
Started Apr 10, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2021 07:59AM UTC
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A majority of seats
96%
A plurality of seats, but not a majority
3%
Neither a majority nor a plurality
0%
Parliamentary elections in Ghana will not take place in 2020
1%
The Mack Institute asks:

What will be the 2020 industry-wide average cost of Li-ion batteries used in battery-powered electric vehicles?

116 Forecasters • 209 Forecasts
Started Apr 02, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 31, 2020 10:59PM UTC
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Less than $115 per kWh
0%
Between $115 and $130 per kWh, inclusive
20%
More than $130 but less than $145 per kWh
67%
Between $145 and $160 per kWh, inclusive
13%
More than $160 per kWh
0%

Before 1 January 2021, will Ali Khamenei cease to be the supreme leader of Iran and/or Hassan Rouhani cease to be the president of Iran?

290 Forecasters • 652 Forecasts
Started Mar 13, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2021 07:59AM UTC
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Yes, only Ali Khamenei will cease to be supreme leader
2%
Yes, only Hassan Rouhani will cease to be president
5%
Yes, both Ali Khamenei and Hassan Rouhani will cease to hold their respective positions, with neither replacing the other
0%
Yes, both Ali Khamenei and Hassan Rouhani will cease to hold their respective positions, with at least one replacing the other
0%
No
93%