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Nesta asks

Between 3 May 2019 and 1 November 2019, which of the following will happen first in relation to the Brexit process?

228 Forecasters • 393 Forecasts
Started May 03, 2019 04:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 01, 2019 06:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
The UK will leave the EU with the November 2018 Withdrawal Agreement in place
5%
The UK will leave the EU with a new or renegotiated version of a Withdrawal Agreement in place
10%
The UK will leave the EU without a Withdrawal Agreement in place
23%
The UK will revoke Article 50
5%
The UK's Article 50 period will be extended beyond 31 October 2019
29%
The UK will set a date for a General Election
14%
The UK will set a date for a referendum on Brexit
14%
The Economist ask

Will Kim Jong Un visit Seoul before 1 October 2019?

8%

Chance
431 Forecasters • 579 Forecasts
Started Mar 22, 2019 05:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 01, 2019 06:59AM UTC
The Economist ask

Will Hassan Rouhani cease to be president of Iran before 1 October 2019?

5%

Chance
259 Forecasters • 347 Forecasts
Started Mar 22, 2019 05:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 01, 2019 06:59AM UTC

When will Denmark approve the construction of Nord Stream 2 through its territorial waters or Exclusive Economic Zone?

90 Forecasters • 223 Forecasts
Started Feb 22, 2019 06:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 01, 2019 07:59AM UTC
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Before 1 June 2019
0%
Between 1 June and 31 August 2019, inclusive
0%
Between 1 September and 30 November 2019, inclusive
10%
Not before 1 December 2019
90%
The Mack Institute asks

Before 1 January 2020, will the registration deadline for Germany's ownership tax exemption for fully-electric vehicles be extended beyond 2020?

90%

Chance
116 Forecasters • 200 Forecasts
Started Feb 15, 2019 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2020 07:59AM UTC
Nesta asks

What will be the percentage change in average UK house prices over the 12-month period to September 2019?

718 Forecasters • 871 Forecasts
Started Jan 24, 2019 05:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 01, 2019 06:59AM UTC
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Less than -3.0%
10%
Between -3.0% and -1.0%, inclusive
20%
More than -1.0% but less than 1.0%
30%
Between 1.0% and 3.0%, inclusive
30%
More than 3.0%
10%
  Fareed Zakaria GPS asks

Will Justin Trudeau cease to be prime minister of Canada after the next federal election?

50%

Chance
791 Forecasters • 1176 Forecasts
Started Jan 18, 2019 06:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 16, 2019 07:59AM UTC
 Fareed Zakaria GPS asks

Before 1 January 2020, will any EU member state besides the UK set a date for a referendum on leaving the EU or the eurozone?

5%

Chance
2025 Forecasters • 2432 Forecasts
Started Jan 04, 2019 10:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2020 07:59AM UTC
  Fareed Zakaria GPS asks

Will Bashar al-Assad cease to be president of Syria before 1 January 2020?

5%

Chance
2140 Forecasters • 2576 Forecasts
Started Jan 04, 2019 10:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2020 07:59AM UTC

Before 1 January 2020, will the UK and the EU adopt an agreement on which customs territory Northern Ireland will be located in after the end of any Brexit transition period?

163 Forecasters • 287 Forecasts
Started Dec 21, 2018 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2020 07:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
No
76%
Yes, the United Kingdom's customs territory only
6%
Yes, the European Union's customs territory only
3%
Yes, a single customs territory that includes both the European Union and the United Kingdom
15%