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Foxes Ask:

Before 1 January 2021, will the Russian constitution be amended to allow Vladimir Putin to remain president after his current term?

95%

Chance
221 Forecasters • 392 Forecasts
Started Apr 17, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2021 07:59AM UTC
Foxes Ask:

Will the Council of the European Union make an Article 7.1 determination against Hungary before 31 December 2020?

5%

Chance
121 Forecasters • 239 Forecasts
Started Apr 17, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2021 07:59AM UTC
Foxes Ask:

How many seats will the New Patriotic Party win in Ghana's 2020 parliamentary elections?

36 Forecasters • 102 Forecasts
Started Apr 10, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2021 07:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
A majority of seats
85%
A plurality of seats, but not a majority
4%
Neither a majority nor a plurality
3%
Parliamentary elections in Ghana will not take place in 2020
8%
The Mack Institute asks:

What will be the 2020 industry-wide average cost of Li-ion batteries used in battery-powered electric vehicles?

82 Forecasters • 138 Forecasts
Started Apr 02, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 31, 2020 10:59PM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Less than $115 per kWh
0%
Between $115 and $130 per kWh, inclusive
16%
More than $130 but less than $145 per kWh
67%
Between $145 and $160 per kWh, inclusive
17%
More than $160 per kWh
0%

Before 1 January 2021, will Ali Khamenei cease to be the supreme leader of Iran and/or Hassan Rouhani cease to be the president of Iran?

261 Forecasters • 514 Forecasts
Started Mar 13, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2021 07:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Yes, only Ali Khamenei will cease to be supreme leader
4%
Yes, only Hassan Rouhani will cease to be president
6%
Yes, both Ali Khamenei and Hassan Rouhani will cease to hold their respective positions, with neither replacing the other
0%
Yes, both Ali Khamenei and Hassan Rouhani will cease to hold their respective positions, with at least one replacing the other
0%
No
90%
Foxes Ask:

Who will be selected as the next leader of Germany's Christian Democratic Union (CDU) party at its special party congress?

100 Forecasters • 271 Forecasts
Started Mar 13, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2021 07:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Armin Laschet
37%
Friedrich Merz
28%
Norbert Röttgen
1%
Someone else
16%
No successor will be selected at the special party congress or the special party congress will be canceled
18%

Who will win the 2020 Bolivian presidential election?

73 Forecasters • 249 Forecasts
Started Feb 21, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jun 14, 2020 06:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Jeanine Áñez
0%
Luis Arce
4%
Luis Camacho
0%
Carlos Mesa
0%
Someone else or another outcome
96%
Foxes Ask:

Will Scott Morrison cease to be prime minister of Australia before 1 January 2021?

2%

Chance
195 Forecasters • 389 Forecasts
Started Feb 14, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2021 07:59AM UTC

Before 1 January 2021, will the People's Liberation Army (PLA) and/or People’s Armed Police (PAP) be mobilized in Hong Kong?

25%

Chance
167 Forecasters • 350 Forecasts
Started Jan 24, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2021 07:59AM UTC