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Between 9 August 2019 and 8 September 2019, will anti-government protests in Russia result in five or more fatalities?

5%

Chance
123 Forecasters • 170 Forecasts
Started Aug 09, 2019 11:10PM UTC
Closing Sep 09, 2019 07:00AM UTC

Will a member of the Likud Party be the first person invited to form a government after the next Israeli general election?

63 Forecasters • 97 Forecasts
Started Jul 19, 2019 05:15PM UTC
Closing Sep 16, 2019 06:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Yes, Benjamin Netanyahu
46%
Yes, someone other than Benjamin Netanyahu
22%
No
32%

What percentage of the vote will the Austrian People's Party (ÖVP) win in the next Austrian parliamentary elections?

88 Forecasters • 161 Forecasts
Started Jun 28, 2019 06:30PM UTC
Closing Sep 28, 2019 06:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Less than 32.00%
8%
Between 32.00% and 36.00%, inclusive
46%
More than 36.00% but less than 40.00%
37%
Between 40.00% and 44.00%, inclusive
7%
More than 44.00%
2%
Nesta asks

Between 3 May 2019 and 1 November 2019, which of the following will happen first in relation to the Brexit process?

843 Forecasters • 1423 Forecasts
Started May 03, 2019 04:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 01, 2019 06:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
The UK will leave the EU with the November 2018 Withdrawal Agreement in place
4%
The UK will leave the EU with a new or renegotiated version of a Withdrawal Agreement in place
9%
The UK will leave the EU without a Withdrawal Agreement in place
28%
The UK will revoke Article 50
4%
The UK's Article 50 period will be extended beyond 31 October 2019
24%
The UK will set a date for a General Election
24%
The UK will set a date for a referendum on Brexit
7%
The Economist asks

Will Kim Jong Un visit Seoul before 1 October 2019?

4%

Chance
538 Forecasters • 794 Forecasts
Started Mar 22, 2019 05:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 01, 2019 06:59AM UTC
The Economist asks

Will Hassan Rouhani cease to be president of Iran before 1 October 2019?

2%

Chance
335 Forecasters • 506 Forecasts
Started Mar 22, 2019 05:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 01, 2019 06:59AM UTC

When will Denmark approve the construction of Nord Stream 2 through its territorial waters or Exclusive Economic Zone?

154 Forecasters • 325 Forecasts
Started Feb 22, 2019 06:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 01, 2019 07:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Before 1 June 2019
1%
Between 1 June and 31 August 2019, inclusive
1%
Between 1 September and 30 November 2019, inclusive
11%
Not before 1 December 2019
87%
The Mack Institute asks

Before 1 January 2020, will the registration deadline for Germany's ownership tax exemption for fully-electric vehicles be extended beyond 2020?

90%

Chance
132 Forecasters • 247 Forecasts
Started Feb 15, 2019 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2020 07:59AM UTC
Nesta asks

What will be the percentage change in average UK house prices over the 12-month period to September 2019?

1041 Forecasters • 1286 Forecasts
Started Jan 24, 2019 05:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 01, 2019 06:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Less than -3.0%
10%
Between -3.0% and -1.0%, inclusive
23%
More than -1.0% but less than 1.0%
34%
Between 1.0% and 3.0%, inclusive
24%
More than 3.0%
9%
  Fareed Zakaria GPS asks

Will Justin Trudeau cease to be prime minister of Canada after the next federal election?

45%

Chance
964 Forecasters • 1503 Forecasts
Started Jan 18, 2019 06:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 16, 2019 07:59AM UTC