Sort By

Will Prayut Chan-o-cha cease to be the prime minister of Thailand before 23 April 2021?

45%

Chance
29 Forecasters • 37 Forecasts
Started Oct 23, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Apr 23, 2021 07:01AM UTC

When will Lebanon's parliament give a vote of confidence to a new government?

42 Forecasters • 89 Forecasts
Started Oct 02, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Apr 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Before 1 December 2020
58%
Between 1 December 2020 and 31 January 2021
33%
Between 1 February 2021 and 31 March 2021
8%
Not before 1 April 2021
1%
SE_Meyer asks:

Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan cease to be president of Turkey before 15 July 2021?

3%

Chance
101 Forecasters • 165 Forecasts
Started Sep 25, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 15, 2021 07:01AM UTC

Before 1 January 2021, will Alassane Ouattara cease to be the president of Ivory Coast?

4%

Chance
35 Forecasters • 69 Forecasts
Started Sep 18, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2021 08:01AM UTC
024_andrew asks:

Before 18 September 2021, will Boris Johnson cease to be prime minister of the United Kingdom?

17%

Chance
162 Forecasters • 239 Forecasts
Started Sep 18, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Sep 18, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Before 1 December 2020, will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the Crown Prince of Saudi Arabia?

213 Forecasters • 396 Forecasts
Started Sep 15, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 01, 2020 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Yes, by becoming the King of Saudi Arabia
5%
Yes, without becoming the King of Saudi Arabia
0%
No
95%

How many Arab League member states other than Palestine will diplomatically recognize the State of Israel as of 28 August 2021?

74 Forecasters • 301 Forecasts
Started Aug 28, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Aug 28, 2021 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
2 or fewer
0%
3
0%
4
0%
5
33%
6 or more
67%

When will the EU amend its Own Resources Decision to help finance the EU's proposed COVID-19 recovery package?

35 Forecasters • 85 Forecasts
Started Aug 28, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Apr 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Before 1 October 2020
0%
Between 1 October 2020 and 31 December 2020
10%
Between 1 January 2021 and 31 March 2021
67%
Not before 1 April 2021
23%

Before 14 February 2021, will former King Juan Carlos I and/or former Catalan President Carles Puigdemont return to Spain?

80 Forecasters • 154 Forecasts
Started Aug 14, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Feb 14, 2021 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Yes, only Juan Carlos I
1%
Yes, only Carles Puigdemont
0%
Yes, both
0%
No
99%

Will pro-democracy candidates win a Legislative Council majority in Hong Kong's next legislative election?

140 Forecasters • 280 Forecasts
Started Jul 17, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2021 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Yes
0%
No
0%
No election will be held in 2020
100%