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Will Iraq's parliament elect a new President of the Republic before 6 November 2022?

13%

Chance
10 Forecasters • 10 Forecasts
Started Aug 05, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 06, 2022 08:01AM UTC
MrLittleTexas asks:

What percentage of the vote will the Republican candidate win in the 2022 Texas gubernatorial election?

20 Forecasters • 30 Forecasts
Started Jul 29, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 09, 2022 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
50.0% or less and will not win the election
3%
50.0% or less but will win the election
6%
More than 50.0% but less than 55.0%
53%
55.0% or more
38%

Will Ranil Wickremesinghe cease to be the president of Sri Lanka before 29 December 2022?

27%

Chance
23 Forecasters • 36 Forecasts
Started Jul 29, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 29, 2022 08:01AM UTC
404_NOT_FOUND asks:

To which political party will the next prime minister of Italy belong after the 2022 general election?

22 Forecasters • 37 Forecasts
Started Jul 29, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Sep 25, 2022 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Brothers of Italy (Fratelli d'Italia)
64%
Democratic Party (Partito Democratico)
31%
Five Star Movement (Movimento 5 Stelle)
0%
Forward Italy (Forza Italia)
0%
League (Lega)
0%
None of the above
5%
MrLittleTexas asks:

Who will win the US Senate election for New Hampshire in 2022?

33 Forecasters • 67 Forecasts
Started Jul 22, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 09, 2022 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
The Democratic Party candidate
75%
The Republican Party candidate
25%
Someone else
0%
MrLittleTexas asks:

Who will win the US Senate election for Colorado in 2022?

34 Forecasters • 53 Forecasts
Started Jul 22, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 09, 2022 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
The Democratic Party candidate
99%
The Republican Party candidate
2%
Someone else
0%

How many seats will Likud win in the 2022 Israeli legislative elections?

16 Forecasters • 23 Forecasts
Started Jul 22, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Fewer than 27
4%
Between 27 and 31
33%
Between 32 and 36
52%
More than 36
11%
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

How many US House seats will Republicans win in the 2022 midterm elections?

54 Forecasters • 149 Forecasts
Started Jun 24, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 09, 2022 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Fewer than 207
0%
Between 207 and 217
1%
Between 218 and 228
29%
Between 229 and 239
51%
Between 240 and 250
19%
More than 250
0%

Who will win the election for New York's 22nd Congressional District in 2022?

27 Forecasters • 65 Forecasts
Started Jun 17, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 09, 2022 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
The Democratic Party candidate
49%
The Republican Party candidate
51%
Someone else
0%

Who will win the election for New York's 19th Congressional District in 2022?

26 Forecasters • 106 Forecasts
Started Jun 17, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 09, 2022 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
The Democratic Party candidate
31%
The Republican Party candidate
69%
Someone else
0%
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