Toggle navigation
Blog
Challenges
Sign In
Sign Up
Challenges
Questions
Status
Active
Coming Soon
Active
Pending Resolution
Resolved
Suspended
Type
all
All
Forecasting Questions
Discussion Questions
Sort By
Start Date
End Date
Number of Predictions
Alphabetically
Filter By
Featured Questions
Questions I'm Following
Questions I've Forecasted
Questions I've Not Forecasted
Challenges
Select All
Not Part of a Challenge
(3)
only
2022 US Midterm Electi... (29)
only
Coronavirus Outbreak (6)
only
Dubai Future Experts C... (7)
only
Foxes Ask (25)
only
Inflation Challenge (37)
only
In the News 2022 (186)
only
Noise: A GJ Open Forec... (5)
only
Range: A GJ Open Forec... (24)
only
Russia-Ukraine Conflict (27)
only
Superforecasting® Work... (36)
only
The Economist: The Wor... (23)
only
The Good Question Chal... (3)
only
The Sky News Challenge (3)
only
Wharton Future of Work... (4)
only
Show more
Tags
Select All
No Tags
(2)
only
Business (86)
only
Society (52)
only
Non-US Politics (49)
only
Technology (48)
only
US Politics (48)
only
Security and Conflict (41)
only
Economic Indicators (38)
only
Foreign Policy (38)
only
Leader Entry/Exit (38)
only
Elections and Referenda (37)
only
US Policy (37)
only
Finance (28)
only
Health (24)
only
Economic Policy (19)
only
Entertainment (9)
only
Environment (9)
only
Sports (9)
only
Open (6)
only
Show less
Will Gotabaya Rajapaksa cease to be the president of Sri Lanka before 20 July 2022?
10%
Chance
17 Forecasters • 24 Forecasts
Started
May 20, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Jul 20, 2022 07:01AM UTC
David Epstein
asks:
Will the UK or EU trigger Article 16 of the Northern Ireland Protocol before 20 August 2022?
5%
Chance
17 Forecasters • 24 Forecasts
Started
May 20, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Aug 20, 2022 07:01AM UTC
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Will Australia and Papua New Guinea (PNG) sign a bilateral defense treaty before 6 May 2023?
69%
Chance
27 Forecasters • 45 Forecasts
Started
May 06, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
May 06, 2023 07:01AM UTC
How many seats will the Ensemble Citoyens (Citizens Together) alliance win in the next French National Assembly elections?
22 Forecasters • 29 Forecasts
Started
May 06, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Jun 19, 2022 07:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Fewer than 289
0%
Between 289 and 321
10%
Between 322 and 353
73%
Between 354 and 385
17%
More than 385
0%
Before 9 July 2022, will the Israeli Knesset vote to dissolve itself?
18%
Chance
39 Forecasters • 92 Forecasts
Started
Apr 29, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Jul 09, 2022 07:01AM UTC
What percentage of the 2022 Chilean referendum vote will be to approve the new constitution?
18 Forecasters • 29 Forecasts
Started
Apr 29, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Sep 04, 2022 07:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Less than 40.0%
0%
Between 40.0% and 50.0%, inclusive
42%
More than 50.0% but less than 60%
35%
60.0% or more
17%
Chile will not hold a referendum on adopting a new constitution in 2022
6%
erikbays
and
David Epstein
ask:
Before 17 December 2022, will Saudi Arabia publicly announce that it will begin accepting yuan as payment for oil from China?
35%
Chance
88 Forecasters • 184 Forecasts
Started
Apr 01, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Dec 17, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Between 1 April 2022 and 30 September 2022, will lethal confrontations between the national military forces, militia, and/or law enforcement personnel (forces) of Armenia and Azerbaijan result in 100 or more fatalities?
20%
Chance
70 Forecasters • 137 Forecasts
Started
Apr 01, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Oct 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
Will the European Central Bank (ECB) announce it will discontinue its monthly net asset purchases under its Asset purchase program (APP) before 10 June 2022?
100%
Chance
34 Forecasters • 78 Forecasts
Started
Mar 25, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Jun 10, 2022 07:01AM UTC
The Economist
asks:
As of 30 September 2022, will the Social Democratic Party of Germany (SPD) rank higher than all other German parties in polling of national parliament voting intention, according to Politico?
35%
Chance
72 Forecasters • 170 Forecasts
Started
Mar 25, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Oct 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
1
2
3
4
5
Next ›
Last »
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username
Publish Anonymously
Cancel