Status

Type

Sort By

Chrisp, 024_andrew, and belikewater ask:

Which party will win control of the US Senate in the 2022 midterm elections?

61 Forecasters • 85 Forecasts
Started Oct 15, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 11, 2022 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Democratic Party
45%
Republican Party
55%
Chrisp, 024_andrew, and belikewater ask:

Which party will win control of the US House of Representatives in the 2022 midterm elections?

58 Forecasters • 62 Forecasts
Started Oct 15, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 11, 2022 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Democratic Party
34%
Republican Party
66%
belikewater asks:

Will Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene be reelected for Georgia's 14th Congressional District in 2022?

83%

Chance
31 Forecasters • 41 Forecasts
Started Oct 15, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 11, 2022 08:01AM UTC
024_andrew asks:

Which party's candidate will win the next presidential election in France?

42 Forecasters • 49 Forecasts
Started Oct 15, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Apr 24, 2022 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
National Rally (Rassemblement National)
1%
The Republic Forward (La République En Marche!)
69%
The Republicans (Les Républicains)
19%
Unbowed France (La France Insoumise)
1%
None of the above
10%
CJH asks:

Who will be elected governor of Virginia in 2021?

71 Forecasters • 130 Forecasts
Started Oct 07, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 02, 2021 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
The Democratic Party candidate
60%
The Republican Party candidate
40%
Someone else
0%
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

How much cash on hand will the following *three Donald Trump-affiliated political action committees (PACs) have combined as of 31 December 2021?

33 Forecasters • 84 Forecasts
Started Sep 10, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Less than $100 million
9%
Between $100 million and $150 million, inclusive
59%
More than $150 million but less than $200 million
31%
$200 million or more
1%
asks:

When will the Scottish government officially request discussions on or agreement to a Section 30 order from the UK government that would enable the Scottish government to call a new independence referendum?

89 Forecasters • 146 Forecasts
Started Aug 27, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Before 1 January 2022
2%
Between 1 January 2022 and 30 June 2022
21%
Between 1 July 2022 and 31 December 2022
34%
Not before 1 January 2023
43%

Who will win the 2021 presidential election in Chile?

53 Forecasters • 208 Forecasts
Started Jul 21, 2021 02:28PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Gabriel Boric
60%
Sebastián Sichel
19%
Another candidate
21%
There will not be a presidential election in Chile before 1 January 2022
0%

Will Haiti hold a presidential election before 1 January 2022?

0%

Chance
67 Forecasters • 284 Forecasts
Started Jul 16, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC

Will Daniel Ortega cease to be the president of Nicaragua before 11 January 2022?

0%

Chance
52 Forecasters • 212 Forecasts
Started Jan 06, 2021 08:30PM UTC
Closing Jan 11, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username
Cancel