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Between 9 August 2019 and 8 September 2019, will anti-government protests in Russia result in five or more fatalities?

5%

Chance
123 Forecasters • 170 Forecasts
Started Aug 09, 2019 11:10PM UTC
Closing Sep 09, 2019 07:00AM UTC

Before 12 September 2019, how many candidates who participated at the second Democratic presidential primary debates on 30-31 July will cease to be candidates?

122 Forecasters • 259 Forecasts
Started Aug 02, 2019 05:00PM UTC
Closing Sep 12, 2019 06:59AM UTC
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Zero
3%
One or two
23%
Three or four
52%
Five or more
22%

What percentage of the vote will the Austrian People's Party (ÖVP) win in the next Austrian parliamentary elections?

88 Forecasters • 161 Forecasts
Started Jun 28, 2019 06:30PM UTC
Closing Sep 28, 2019 06:59AM UTC
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Less than 32.00%
8%
Between 32.00% and 36.00%, inclusive
46%
More than 36.00% but less than 40.00%
37%
Between 40.00% and 44.00%, inclusive
7%
More than 44.00%
2%
The Economist asks

Will Hassan Rouhani cease to be president of Iran before 1 October 2019?

2%

Chance
335 Forecasters • 506 Forecasts
Started Mar 22, 2019 05:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 01, 2019 06:59AM UTC

When will Nicolas Maduro cease to be president of Venezuela?

380 Forecasters • 1502 Forecasts
Started Dec 21, 2018 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2020 07:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Before 1 April 2019
1%
Between 1 April 2019 and 30 June 2019, inclusive
1%
Between 1 July 2019 and 30 September 2019, inclusive
0%
Between 1 October 2019 and 31 December 2019, inclusive
5%
Not before 1 January 2020
93%