Sort By

The Economist ask

Will Hassan Rouhani cease to be president of Iran before 1 October 2019?

5%

Chance
259 Forecasters • 347 Forecasts
Started Mar 22, 2019 05:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 01, 2019 06:59AM UTC

When will Nicolas Maduro cease to be president of Venezuela?

283 Forecasters • 1240 Forecasts
Started Dec 21, 2018 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2020 07:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Before 1 April 2019
2%
Between 1 April 2019 and 30 June 2019, inclusive
3%
Between 1 July 2019 and 30 September 2019, inclusive
7%
Between 1 October 2019 and 31 December 2019, inclusive
12%
Not before 1 January 2020
76%
Nesta asks

Will there be a new prime minister of the United Kingdom before 1 July 2019?

2501 Forecasters • 3930 Forecasts
Started Dec 21, 2018 11:00AM UTC
Closing Jul 01, 2019 06:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Yes, someone from the Conservative Party
17%
Yes, someone from the Labour Party
5%
Yes, someone from a party other than the Labour or Conservative Parties
2%
No
76%