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Who will win the 2021 presidential election in Chile?

36 Forecasters • 65 Forecasts
Started Jul 21, 2021 02:28PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Gabriel Boric
51%
Sebastián Sichel
39%
Another candidate
9%
There will not be a presidential election in Chile before 1 January 2022
1%

Will Haiti hold a presidential election before 1 January 2022?

32%

Chance
48 Forecasters • 87 Forecasts
Started Jul 16, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
CJH asks:

Following the 2021 German Bundestag elections, which parties will be part of the new government?

99 Forecasters • 431 Forecasts
Started Apr 16, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Sep 26, 2021 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
The CDU but not the Green Party
12%
The Green Party but not the CDU
5%
Both the CDU and the Green Party
75%
Neither the CDU nor the Green Party
0%
No government will be formed before 31 December 2021
8%
CJH asks:

Will California hold a recall election for Governor Gavin Newsom before 1 January 2022?

85 Forecasters • 333 Forecasts
Started Feb 19, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Yes, and Newsom will be recalled
8%
Yes, but Newsom will not be recalled
92%
No
0%
The Economist asks:

How many seats will the United Russia party win in the 2021 Russian State Duma elections?

135 Forecasters • 423 Forecasts
Started Jan 15, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Sep 19, 2021 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Fewer than 226 seats
0%
Between 226 seats and 299 seats
26%
300 seats or more
74%
Russian State Duma elections will not be held before 20 September 2021
0%
The Economist asks:

When will a new Dutch government be sworn in after the 2021 general election?

112 Forecasters • 673 Forecasts
Started Jan 15, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Sep 18, 2021 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Between 18 March 2021 and 17 June 2021
0%
Between 18 June 2021 and 17 September 2021
40%
Not before 18 September 2021
60%
The Economist asks:

Will Mexico hold a referendum on President Andrés Manuel López Obrador before 1 September 2021?

98 Forecasters • 228 Forecasts
Started Jan 08, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Sep 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Yes, and a majority of the vote will be in support of President López Obrador
0%
Yes, but a majority of the vote will not be in support of President López Obrador
0%
No
100%
The Economist asks:

Before 1 October 2021, will any group of Amazon employees in the U.S. vote in the affirmative to form a union?

1%

Chance
183 Forecasters • 582 Forecasts
Started Jan 08, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC

Will Daniel Ortega cease to be the president of Nicaragua before 11 January 2022?

3%

Chance
41 Forecasters • 167 Forecasts
Started Jan 06, 2021 08:30PM UTC
Closing Jan 11, 2022 08:01AM UTC
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