Toggle navigation
Blog
Challenges
Sign In
Sign Up
Challenges
Questions
Status
Active
Coming Soon
Active
Pending Resolution
Resolved
Suspended
Voided
Type
all
all
Forecasting Questions
Discussion Questions
Sort By
Start Date
End Date
Number of Predictions
Alphabetically
Filter By
Featured Questions
Questions I'm Following
Questions I've Forecasted
Challenges
Select All
Not Part of a Challenge
(3)
only
2022 Long-term Vehicle... (13)
only
China and the World in... (9)
only
Coronavirus Outbreak (16)
only
Finance Forecasting Ch... (1)
only
Foxes Ask (19)
only
In the News 2021 (102)
only
Superforecasting® Work... (24)
only
The Economist: The Wor... (19)
only
Show more
Tags
Select All
No Tags
(1)
only
Business (46)
only
Non-US Politics (31)
only
Technology (30)
only
Health (22)
only
Finance (16)
only
Foreign Policy (14)
only
Security and Conflict (14)
only
Leader Entry/Exit (12)
only
Elections and Referenda (11)
only
Economic Policy (10)
only
Environment (10)
only
Society (10)
only
US Politics (9)
only
US Policy (8)
only
Economic Indicators (7)
only
Sports (6)
only
Entertainment (3)
only
Open (1)
only
Show less
Will the Scottish National Party win a majority of seats in the next Scottish Parliament election?
95%
Chance
81 Forecasters • 86 Forecasts
Started
Jan 15, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing
May 06, 2021 07:01AM UTC
The Economist
asks:
How many seats will the United Russia party win in the 2021 Russian State Duma elections?
41 Forecasters • 42 Forecasts
Started
Jan 15, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing
Sep 19, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Fewer than 226 seats
0%
Between 226 seats and 299 seats
17%
300 seats or more
82%
Russian State Duma elections will not be held before 20 September 2021
1%
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Before 15 July 2021, will an election be held for Moldova's parliament?
23 Forecasters • 26 Forecasts
Started
Jan 15, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing
Jul 15, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Yes, and the PSRM will win the most seats
14%
Yes, and the PSRM will tie or not win the most
83%
No
3%
The Economist
asks:
When will a new Dutch government be sworn in after the 2021 general election?
39 Forecasters • 50 Forecasts
Started
Jan 15, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing
Sep 18, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Between 18 March 2021 and 17 June 2021
57%
Between 18 June 2021 and 17 September 2021
33%
Not before 18 September 2021
10%
The Economist
asks:
Will Mexico hold a referendum on President Andrés Manuel López Obrador before 1 September 2021?
43 Forecasters • 60 Forecasts
Started
Jan 08, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing
Sep 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Yes, and a majority of the vote will be in support of President López Obrador
10%
Yes, but a majority of the vote will not be in support of President López Obrador
2%
No
88%
The Economist
asks:
Before 1 October 2021, will any group of Amazon employees in the U.S. vote in the affirmative to form a union?
67%
Chance
77 Forecasters • 97 Forecasts
Started
Jan 08, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing
Oct 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Will Daniel Ortega cease to be the president of Nicaragua before 11 January 2022?
5%
Chance
31 Forecasters • 58 Forecasts
Started
Jan 06, 2021 08:30PM UTC
Closing
Jan 11, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
How many seats in the Legislative Assembly will New Ideas (Nuevas Ideas) win in the 2021 Salvadoran legislative election?
16 Forecasters • 26 Forecasts
Started
Dec 31, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closing
Feb 28, 2021 08:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Fewer than 35
0%
Between 35 and 50, inclusive
7%
More than 50 but fewer than 65
93%
65 or more
0%
Before 1 April 2021, will an election be held for Israel's Knesset?
125 Forecasters • 196 Forecasts
Started
Dec 22, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closing
Apr 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Yes, and Likud will win the most seats of any party
84%
Yes, and Likud will tie or not win the most seats of any party
15%
There will not be an election before 1 April 2021
1%
Before 1 July 2021, will presidential and/or parliamentary elections be held in Kyrgyzstan?
28 Forecasters • 78 Forecasts
Started
Dec 04, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closing
Jul 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Yes, only for president
9%
Yes, only for parliament
0%
Yes, for both president and parliament
91%
No
0%
1
2
Next ›
Last »
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username
Cancel