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Will the Scottish National Party win a majority of seats in the next Scottish Parliament election?

95%

Chance
81 Forecasters • 86 Forecasts
Started Jan 15, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing May 06, 2021 07:01AM UTC
The Economist asks:

How many seats will the United Russia party win in the 2021 Russian State Duma elections?

41 Forecasters • 42 Forecasts
Started Jan 15, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Sep 19, 2021 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Fewer than 226 seats
0%
Between 226 seats and 299 seats
17%
300 seats or more
82%
Russian State Duma elections will not be held before 20 September 2021
1%
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Before 15 July 2021, will an election be held for Moldova's parliament?

23 Forecasters • 26 Forecasts
Started Jan 15, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 15, 2021 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Yes, and the PSRM will win the most seats
14%
Yes, and the PSRM will tie or not win the most
83%
No
3%
The Economist asks:

When will a new Dutch government be sworn in after the 2021 general election?

39 Forecasters • 50 Forecasts
Started Jan 15, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Sep 18, 2021 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Between 18 March 2021 and 17 June 2021
57%
Between 18 June 2021 and 17 September 2021
33%
Not before 18 September 2021
10%
The Economist asks:

Will Mexico hold a referendum on President Andrés Manuel López Obrador before 1 September 2021?

43 Forecasters • 60 Forecasts
Started Jan 08, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Sep 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Yes, and a majority of the vote will be in support of President López Obrador
10%
Yes, but a majority of the vote will not be in support of President López Obrador
2%
No
88%
The Economist asks:

Before 1 October 2021, will any group of Amazon employees in the U.S. vote in the affirmative to form a union?

67%

Chance
77 Forecasters • 97 Forecasts
Started Jan 08, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC

Will Daniel Ortega cease to be the president of Nicaragua before 11 January 2022?

5%

Chance
31 Forecasters • 58 Forecasts
Started Jan 06, 2021 08:30PM UTC
Closing Jan 11, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

How many seats in the Legislative Assembly will New Ideas (Nuevas Ideas) win in the 2021 Salvadoran legislative election?

16 Forecasters • 26 Forecasts
Started Dec 31, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closing Feb 28, 2021 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Fewer than 35
0%
Between 35 and 50, inclusive
7%
More than 50 but fewer than 65
93%
65 or more
0%

Before 1 April 2021, will an election be held for Israel's Knesset?

125 Forecasters • 196 Forecasts
Started Dec 22, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closing Apr 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Yes, and Likud will win the most seats of any party
84%
Yes, and Likud will tie or not win the most seats of any party
15%
There will not be an election before 1 April 2021
1%

Before 1 July 2021, will presidential and/or parliamentary elections be held in Kyrgyzstan?

28 Forecasters • 78 Forecasts
Started Dec 04, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Yes, only for president
9%
Yes, only for parliament
0%
Yes, for both president and parliament
91%
No
0%
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