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The Economist asks

How many seats in the Legislative Yuan will the Kuomintang party win in the next Taiwan parliamentary elections?

45 Forecasters • 63 Forecasts
Started Nov 22, 2019 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 11, 2020 07:59AM UTC
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Less than 36 seats
47%
Between 36 and 42 seats
25%
Between 43 and 49 seats
16%
Between 50 and 56 seats
7%
More than 56 seats
5%
The Economist asks

Who will win the 2020 Taiwan presidential election?

71 Forecasters • 104 Forecasts
Started Nov 22, 2019 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 11, 2020 07:59AM UTC
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Tsai Ing-wen
92%
Han Kuo-yu
7%
James Soong
1%
Someone else
0%

How many of the following 10 marginal seats in the House of Commons will change parties in the upcoming 2019 UK elections?

79 Forecasters • 132 Forecasts
Started Nov 15, 2019 06:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 12, 2019 07:59AM UTC
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None
4%
1 or 2
8%
3 or 4
29%
5 or 6
44%
7 or more
15%

Will Iraq hold parliamentary elections before 1 December 2020?

65%

Chance
33 Forecasters • 57 Forecasts
Started Nov 15, 2019 06:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 01, 2020 07:59AM UTC
Nesta asks

Will a political party gain an overall majority of seats in the House of Commons at the next UK General Election?

235 Forecasters • 546 Forecasts
Started Oct 30, 2019 04:30PM UTC
Closing Dec 12, 2019 07:59AM UTC
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Yes, the Conservative Party
67%
Yes, the Labour Party
2%
Yes, a political party not listed above
1%
No political party will gain an overall majority
30%

Will Algeria hold a presidential election on 12 December 2019?

28 Forecasters • 127 Forecasts
Started Oct 18, 2019 05:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 12, 2019 07:59AM UTC
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Yes, and a candidate who is a member of the National Liberation Front (FLN) party will receive the most votes
60%
Yes, and a candidate who is not a member of the National Liberation Front (FLN) party will receive the most votes
40%
No
0%

When will Nicolas Maduro cease to be president of Venezuela?

451 Forecasters • 1767 Forecasts
Started Dec 21, 2018 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2020 07:59AM UTC
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Before 1 April 2019
0%
Between 1 April 2019 and 30 June 2019, inclusive
0%
Between 1 July 2019 and 30 September 2019, inclusive
0%
Between 1 October 2019 and 31 December 2019, inclusive
1%
Not before 1 January 2020
99%