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  Fareed Zakaria GPS asks:

Will Nicolas Maduro cease to be president of Venezuela before 1 January 2021?

7%

Chance
22 Forecasters • 25 Forecasts
Started Jun 04, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2021 07:59AM UTC

Will Paulo Guedes cease to be Brazil's Minister of the Economy before 1 December 2020?

25%

Chance
51 Forecasters • 114 Forecasts
Started May 08, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 01, 2020 07:59AM UTC
The Economist asks:

Before 1 October 2020, will North Korea announce that it has a new head of state?

2%

Chance
311 Forecasters • 483 Forecasts
Started May 01, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 01, 2020 06:59AM UTC
Foxes Ask:

Before 1 January 2021, will the Russian constitution be amended to allow Vladimir Putin to remain president after his current term?

95%

Chance
221 Forecasters • 392 Forecasts
Started Apr 17, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2021 07:59AM UTC

Before 1 January 2021, will Ali Khamenei cease to be the supreme leader of Iran and/or Hassan Rouhani cease to be the president of Iran?

261 Forecasters • 514 Forecasts
Started Mar 13, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2021 07:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Yes, only Ali Khamenei will cease to be supreme leader
4%
Yes, only Hassan Rouhani will cease to be president
6%
Yes, both Ali Khamenei and Hassan Rouhani will cease to hold their respective positions, with neither replacing the other
0%
Yes, both Ali Khamenei and Hassan Rouhani will cease to hold their respective positions, with at least one replacing the other
0%
No
90%
Foxes Ask:

Who will be selected as the next leader of Germany's Christian Democratic Union (CDU) party at its special party congress?

100 Forecasters • 271 Forecasts
Started Mar 13, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2021 07:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Armin Laschet
37%
Friedrich Merz
28%
Norbert Röttgen
1%
Someone else
16%
No successor will be selected at the special party congress or the special party congress will be canceled
18%
Foxes Ask:

Will Scott Morrison cease to be prime minister of Australia before 1 January 2021?

2%

Chance
195 Forecasters • 389 Forecasts
Started Feb 14, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2021 07:59AM UTC
The Economist asks:

Before 1 September 2020, will Cameroon's Paul Biya and/or Togo's Faure Gnassingbé cease to be the president of their respective countries?

119 Forecasters • 278 Forecasts
Started Jan 31, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closing Sep 01, 2020 06:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Yes, only President Paul Biya
4%
Yes, only President Faure Gnassingbé
1%
Yes, both
0%
No
95%
Foxes Ask:

Will there be a new prime minister of Italy before 24 January 2021?

15%

Chance
152 Forecasters • 376 Forecasts
Started Jan 24, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 24, 2021 07:59AM UTC
  Fareed Zakaria GPS asks:

Will Benjamin Netanyahu cease to be the prime minister of Israel before 1 January 2021?

40%

Chance
1332 Forecasters • 1958 Forecasts
Started Jan 17, 2020 09:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2021 07:59AM UTC