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Will Prayut Chan-o-cha cease to be the prime minister of Thailand before 23 April 2021?

45%

Chance
29 Forecasters • 37 Forecasts
Started Oct 23, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Apr 23, 2021 07:01AM UTC

When will Lebanon's parliament give a vote of confidence to a new government?

42 Forecasters • 89 Forecasts
Started Oct 02, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Apr 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Before 1 December 2020
58%
Between 1 December 2020 and 31 January 2021
33%
Between 1 February 2021 and 31 March 2021
8%
Not before 1 April 2021
1%
r00k asks:

Before 5 January 2021, will Vice President Mike Pence cast a tie-breaking vote in the Senate confirming Amy Coney Barrett to the U.S. Supreme Court?

0%

Chance
97 Forecasters • 166 Forecasts
Started Oct 02, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 05, 2021 08:01AM UTC

When will the U.S. Senate confirm Amy Coney Barrett to the Supreme Court?

186 Forecasters • 518 Forecasts
Started Sep 28, 2020 04:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 05, 2021 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Before 3 November 2020
99%
Between 3 November 2020 and 4 January 2021
1%
Not before 5 January 2021
0%
SE_Meyer asks:

Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan cease to be president of Turkey before 15 July 2021?

3%

Chance
101 Forecasters • 165 Forecasts
Started Sep 25, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 15, 2021 07:01AM UTC

Before 1 January 2021, will Alassane Ouattara cease to be the president of Ivory Coast?

4%

Chance
35 Forecasters • 69 Forecasts
Started Sep 18, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2021 08:01AM UTC
024_andrew asks:

Before 18 September 2021, will Boris Johnson cease to be prime minister of the United Kingdom?

17%

Chance
162 Forecasters • 239 Forecasts
Started Sep 18, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Sep 18, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Before 1 December 2020, will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the Crown Prince of Saudi Arabia?

213 Forecasters • 396 Forecasts
Started Sep 15, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 01, 2020 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Yes, by becoming the King of Saudi Arabia
5%
Yes, without becoming the King of Saudi Arabia
0%
No
95%

Before 11 November 2020, will Alexander Lukashenko cease to be the president of Belarus?

1%

Chance
271 Forecasters • 971 Forecasts
Started Aug 11, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 11, 2020 08:01AM UTC
  Fareed Zakaria GPS asks:

Will Nicolas Maduro cease to be president of Venezuela before 1 January 2021?

2%

Chance
408 Forecasters • 735 Forecasts
Started Jun 04, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2021 08:01AM UTC