Sort By

Before 1 January 2021, will Ali Khamenei cease to be the supreme leader of Iran and/or Hassan Rouhani cease to be the president of Iran?

175 Forecasters • 251 Forecasts
Started Mar 13, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2021 07:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Yes, only Ali Khamenei will cease to be supreme leader
9%
Yes, only Hassan Rouhani will cease to be president
14%
Yes, both Ali Khamenei and Hassan Rouhani will cease to hold their respective positions, with neither replacing the other
6%
Yes, both Ali Khamenei and Hassan Rouhani will cease to hold their respective positions, with at least one replacing the other
5%
No
66%
Foxes Ask:

Who will be selected as the next leader of Germany's Christian Democratic Union (CDU) party at its special party congress?

47 Forecasters • 103 Forecasts
Started Mar 13, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2021 07:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Armin Laschet
30%
Friedrich Merz
41%
Norbert Röttgen
6%
Someone else
9%
No successor will be selected at the special party congress or the special party congress will be canceled
14%
Foxes Ask:

Will Scott Morrison cease to be prime minister of Australia before 1 January 2021?

5%

Chance
156 Forecasters • 253 Forecasts
Started Feb 14, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2021 07:59AM UTC
The Economist asks:

Before 1 September 2020, will Cameroon's Paul Biya and/or Togo's Faure Gnassingbé cease to be the president of their respective countries?

75 Forecasters • 162 Forecasts
Started Jan 31, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closing Sep 01, 2020 06:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Yes, only President Paul Biya
6%
Yes, only President Faure Gnassingbé
3%
Yes, both
0%
No
91%
Foxes Ask:

Will there be a new prime minister of Italy before 24 January 2021?

27%

Chance
112 Forecasters • 231 Forecasts
Started Jan 24, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 24, 2021 07:59AM UTC
  Fareed Zakaria GPS asks:

Will Benjamin Netanyahu cease to be the prime minister of Israel before 1 January 2021?

55%

Chance
1203 Forecasters • 1564 Forecasts
Started Jan 17, 2020 09:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2021 07:59AM UTC
  Fareed Zakaria GPS asks:

Before 1 January 2021, will a United States Supreme Court seat be vacated?

1087 Forecasters • 1287 Forecasts
Started Jan 17, 2020 09:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2021 07:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Yes, and a replacement Justice will be confirmed by the Senate before 1 January 2021
25%
Yes, but no replacement Justice will be confirmed by the Senate before 1 January 2021
20%
No
55%
  Fareed Zakaria GPS and The Economist ask:

Will Nicolas Maduro cease to be president of Venezuela before 1 June 2020?

10%

Chance
1091 Forecasters • 1478 Forecasts
Started Dec 13, 2019 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jun 01, 2020 06:59AM UTC