Status

Type

Sort By

What will be Rivian's end-of-day market capitalization on its first day of public trading?

20 Forecasters • 35 Forecasts
Started Sep 24, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Less than $50 billion
5%
Between $50 billion and $70 billion, inclusive
43%
More than $70 billion but less than $90 billion
48%
Between $90 billion and $110 billion, inclusive
4%
More than $110 billion
0%
Rivian will not trade publicly before 1 January 2022
0%
Ist191 asks:

Will the James Webb telescope be launched successfully before 1 January 2022?

81%

Chance
29 Forecasters • 51 Forecasts
Started Sep 24, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC

What percentage of US retail sales will be made online in the fourth quarter of 2022?

36 Forecasters • 47 Forecasts
Started Sep 17, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Less than 12.5%
1%
Between 12.5% and 13.5%, inclusive
18%
More than 13.5% but less than 14.5%
39%
Between 14.5% and 15.5%, inclusive
24%
More than 15.5%
18%
belikewater asks:

When will the 7-day moving average of daily cases of COVID-19 in the US reported to the CDC next reach or exceed 200,000?

34 Forecasters • 69 Forecasts
Started Sep 17, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing May 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Before 1 November 2021
1%
Between 1 November 2021 and 31 December 2021
4%
Between 1 January 2022 and 28 February 2022
10%
Between 1 March 2022 and 30 April 2022
6%
Not before 1 May 2022
79%

What will be the 7-day average number of new cases of COVID-19 in Louisiana for the week ending 20 October 2021?

39 Forecasters • 114 Forecasts
Started Sep 10, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 20, 2021 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Fewer than 1,500
95%
Between 1,500 and 3,000, inclusive
5%
More than 3,000 but fewer than 4,500
0%
Between 4,500 and 6,000, inclusive
0%
More than 6,000 but fewer than 7,500
0%
7,500 or more
0%

What will be the US producer price index for Internet advertising sales in June 2022?

18 Forecasters • 42 Forecasts
Started Sep 03, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Lower than 60.0
1%
Between 60.0 and 66.0, inclusive
12%
Higher than 66.0 but lower than 72.0
31%
Between 72.0 and 78.0, inclusive
39%
Higher than 78.0 but lower than 84.0
14%
84.0 or higher
3%
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

When will the 14-day average of COVID-19 hospitalized patients in California next reach or exceed 12,000?

55 Forecasters • 220 Forecasts
Started Aug 06, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Feb 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Before 15 September 2021
0%
Between 15 September 2021 and 31 October 2021
1%
Between 1 November 2021 and 15 December 2021
5%
Between 16 December 2021 and 31 January 2022
10%
Not before 1 February 2022
84%
Private Superforecasting Workshop and belikewater ask:

When will a SARS-CoV-2 variant other than Delta next represent more than 70.0% of total COVID-19 cases in the US?

107 Forecasters • 255 Forecasts
Started Aug 06, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Mar 12, 2022 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
A two-week period ending 25 September 2021 or earlier
0%
A two-week period ending between 9 October 2021 and 20 November 2021
0%
A two-week period ending between 4 December 2021 and 15 January 2022
2%
A two-week period ending between 29 January 2022 and 12 March 2022
11%
Not before 12 March 2022
87%
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username
Cancel