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What will President Biden’s approval rating be as of 31 March 2022, according to FiveThirtyEight?

70 Forecasters • 103 Forecasts
Started Sep 10, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Mar 31, 2022 07:01AM UTC
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Lower than 40.0%
6%
Between 40.0% and 45.0%, inclusive
30%
Higher than 45.0% but lower than 50.0%
46%
Between 50.0% and 55.0%, inclusive
17%
Higher than 55.0%
1%
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

How much cash on hand will the following three Donald Trump-affiliated political action committees (PACs) have combined as of 31 December 2021?

24 Forecasters • 38 Forecasts
Started Sep 10, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
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Less than $100 million
4%
Between $100 million and $150 million, inclusive
55%
More than $150 million but less than $200 million
32%
$200 million or more
9%
asks:

Before 1 January 2022, will President Biden invite Prime Minister Boris Johnson to visit the White House?

30%

Chance
132 Forecasters • 227 Forecasts
Started Aug 27, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

When will the 14-day average of COVID-19 hospitalized patients in California next reach or exceed 12,000?

52 Forecasters • 200 Forecasts
Started Aug 06, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Feb 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
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Before 15 September 2021
0%
Between 15 September 2021 and 31 October 2021
1%
Between 1 November 2021 and 15 December 2021
7%
Between 16 December 2021 and 31 January 2022
12%
Not before 1 February 2022
80%
Columbus asks:

Before 1 January 2022, will the Nord Stream 2 pipeline begin delivering natural gas to Germany?

75%

Chance
70 Forecasters • 212 Forecasts
Started Aug 06, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Before 1 January 2023, will Amazon announce that it will spin off Amazon Web Services (AWS)?

15%

Chance
86 Forecasters • 127 Forecasts
Started Jul 21, 2021 02:28PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

How many New York City eviction filings will be reported for 2021?

38 Forecasters • 162 Forecasts
Started Jul 02, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
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Fewer than 60,000
75%
Between 60,000 and 80,000, inclusive
19%
More than 80,000 but fewer than 120,000
5%
Between 120,000 and 240,000, inclusive
1%
More than 240,000
0%
Tim Harford asks:

Will the US civilian labor force participation rate reach or exceed 63.0% for any month in 2021?

1%

Chance
88 Forecasters • 240 Forecasts
Started May 28, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
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