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Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
What will be the national average price of a gallon of gasoline on 8 November 2022, according to the American Automobile Association (AAA)?
14 Forecasters • 15 Forecasts
Started
Jun 24, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Nov 08, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Less than $3.00
0%
Between $3.00 and $3.50, inclusive
0%
More than $3.50 but less than $4.00
0%
Between $4.00 and $4.50, inclusive
38%
More than $4.50 but less than $5.00
39%
Between $5.00 and $5.50, inclusive
23%
More than $5.50 but less than $6.00
0%
Between $6.00 and $6.50, inclusive
0%
More than $6.50
0%
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
How many US House seats will Republicans win in the 2022 midterm elections?
17 Forecasters • 28 Forecasts
Started
Jun 24, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Nov 09, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Fewer than 207
0%
Between 207 and 217
3%
Between 218 and 228
45%
Between 229 and 239
44%
Between 240 and 250
8%
More than 250
0%
Who will win the election for New York's 22nd Congressional District in 2022?
16 Forecasters • 16 Forecasts
Started
Jun 17, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Nov 09, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
The Democratic Party candidate
46%
The Republican Party candidate
55%
Someone else
0%
Who will win the election for New York's 19th Congressional District in 2022?
17 Forecasters • 27 Forecasts
Started
Jun 17, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Nov 09, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
The Democratic Party candidate
47%
The Republican Party candidate
54%
Someone else
0%
Will federal legislation mandating or enabling enhanced background checks for gun purchasers under the age of 21 in the US become law before 8 November 2022?
100%
Chance
41 Forecasters • 77 Forecasts
Started
Jun 17, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Nov 08, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Who will win the election for Kansas' 3rd Congressional District in 2022?
22 Forecasters • 27 Forecasts
Started
Jun 10, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Nov 09, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
The Democratic Party candidate
40%
The Republican Party candidate
60%
Someone else
0%
kerryb
asks:
What will President Biden’s approval rating be as of 31 October 2022, according to FiveThirtyEight?
57 Forecasters • 106 Forecasts
Started
Jun 10, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Oct 31, 2022 07:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Lower than 35.0%
21%
Between 35.0% and 40.0%, inclusive
63%
Higher than 40.0% but lower than 45.0%
16%
Between 45.0% and 50.0%, inclusive
0%
Higher than 50.0%
0%
What will voter turnout be in the 2022 US midterm elections?
56 Forecasters • 135 Forecasts
Started
May 06, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Nov 09, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Less than 36.0%
0%
Between 36.0% and 40.0%, inclusive
19%
More than 40.0% but less than 44.0%
29%
Between 44.0% and 48.0%, inclusive
25%
More than 48.0% but less than 52.0%
25%
52.0% or more
2%
David Epstein
asks:
Before 1 November 2022, will an executive order be signed or federal legislation become law that would forgive $10,000 or more in principal on federal student loan debts for at least ten million student loan borrowers?
64%
Chance
76 Forecasters • 175 Forecasts
Started
Apr 29, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Nov 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
Who will win the US Senate election for Wisconsin in 2022?
46 Forecasters • 82 Forecasts
Started
Apr 22, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Nov 09, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
The Democratic Party candidate
29%
The Republican Party candidate
71%
Someone else
0%
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