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Question
Before 1 September 2025, will Russia or Belarus detonate a nuclear device outside of Russian and Belarusian territory or airspace?
Closing
Sep 01, 2025 07:01AM UTC
·
48
·
58
Between 1 December 2024 and 28 February 2025, how many total fatalities will occur in Syria due to conflicts and protests, according to ACLED?
Closing
Mar 01, 2025 08:01AM UTC
·
23
·
66
Will Pete Hegseth be sworn in as US Secretary of Defense before 1 April 2025?
Closing
Apr 01, 2025 07:01AM UTC
·
56
·
161
The Economist
asks:
How many NATO member states will spend 2.0% or more of their GDP on defense in 2025?
Closing
Aug 02, 2025 07:01AM UTC
·
175
·
236
The Economist
asks:
Will Min Aung Hlaing or his military successor(s) cease to be the head of government of Myanmar before 1 October 2025?
Closing
Oct 01, 2025 07:01AM UTC
·
142
·
188
The Economist
asks:
In the current conflict in Ukraine, when will Russia and Ukraine announce a ceasefire with an intended indefinite duration or an intended duration of at least 28 days?
Closing
Sep 29, 2025 07:01AM UTC
·
240
·
351
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Before 25 February 2026, will the US accuse Russia of having engaged a US-registered commercial satellite orbiting Earth with a Direct-Ascent Anti-Satellite (DA-ASAT) missile?
Closing
Feb 25, 2026 08:01AM UTC
·
34
·
53
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Before 1 June 2025, will a NATO member invoke either Article 4 or Article 5 in response to a putative act or acts of sabotage?
Closing
Jun 01, 2025 07:01AM UTC
·
48
·
85
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Before 1 July 2025, will Russia detonate a nuclear device inside of Russian territory or airspace?
Closing
Jul 01, 2025 07:01AM UTC
·
65
·
99
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
When will Russia and Ukraine sign or announce an agreement to end the current conflict in Ukraine?
Closing
Jul 20, 2025 07:01AM UTC
·
64
·
154
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