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Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:
Before 1 October 2023, will the Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) execute a military strike within the territory of Iran?
Closing
Oct 01, 2023 07:01AM UTC
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:
Before 1 July 2024, will the US, IAEA, and/or a UN agency publicly state that it believes it more likely than not that Iran possesses a nuclear weapon capable of being detonated?
Closing
Jul 01, 2024 07:01AM UTC
Between 16 September 2022 and 16 March 2023, will lethal confrontations between the national military forces, militia, and/or law enforcement personnel (forces) of Georgia and those of Russia, Abkhazia, and/or South Ossetia result in 100 or more fatalities?
Closing
Mar 17, 2023 07:01AM UTC
Before 1 April 2023, will Russia detonate a nuclear device outside of Russian territory or airspace?
Closing
Apr 01, 2023 07:01AM UTC
Between 16 September 2022 and 16 March 2023, will Russia publicly announce that it has moved nuclear weapons into either Belarus or Ukraine?
Closing
Mar 17, 2023 07:01AM UTC
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:
Before 1 January 2023, will the presidents of Russia and Ukraine meet in person?
Closing
Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
Will there be a lethal confrontation between the national military forces, militia, and/or law enforcement personnel the People's Republic of China (PRC) and those of any other country before 28 November 2022?
Closing
Nov 28, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Will Taiwan publicly accuse the People's Republic of China of flying a military aircraft over the territory of and/or the territorial waters surrounding the main island of Taiwan without its permission before 15 March 2023?
Closing
Mar 15, 2023 07:01AM UTC
Will the UK or EU trigger Article 16 of the Northern Ireland Protocol before 1 December 2022?
Closing
Dec 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Will Saudi Arabia announce that it will normalize relations with the State of Israel before 1 March 2023?
Closing
Mar 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
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