Good Judgment® Open

Before 22 August 2025, will Iran's national military forces attempt to execute a military strike within the territory, airspace, or territorial waters of a Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) member state?

Closing Aug 22, 2025 07:01AM UTC · 13 · 13

When will Israel publicly announce that a ceasefire covering the whole of Iran has begun?

Closing Aug 04, 2025 07:01AM UTC · 10 · 11

What will be the total value of US-EU trade in goods (exports plus imports) in the third quarter (Q3) of 2025 as compared to Q3 2024?

Closing Oct 01, 2025 07:01AM UTC · 6 · 6

What will be the total value of US-China trade in goods (exports plus imports) in the third quarter (Q3) of 2025 as compared to Q3 2024?

Closing Oct 01, 2025 07:01AM UTC · 5 · 5

Before 1 January 2026, will a NATO member invoke either Article 4 or Article 5 in response to a putative act or acts of sabotage?

Closing Jan 01, 2026 08:01AM UTC · 35 · 45

Before 20 December 2025, will the International Criminal Court (ICC) issue an arrest warrant or warrants for any Israeli official for reasons related to actions in the West Bank?

Closing Dec 20, 2025 08:01AM UTC · 28 · 37

Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Before 1 January 2026, will the United States give written notice of withdrawal to the Director-General of the World Trade Organization (WTO)?

Closing Jan 01, 2026 08:01AM UTC · 28 · 51

When will the UK officially announce that it has resumed talks with Israel on a new free trade agreement?

Closing Oct 10, 2025 07:01AM UTC · 24 · 43

Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

On 15 July 2025, will the total "reciprocal" tariff rate imposed on goods imported from the European Union in effect be 20% or higher?

Closing Jul 15, 2025 07:01AM UTC · 38 · 62

Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Before 1 January 2026, will the European Council vote to suspend Hungary's right to vote within the European Council?

Closing Jan 01, 2026 08:01AM UTC · 54 · 96