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Will Russia officially recognize Transnistria (Pridnestrovskaia Moldavskaia Republic) in Moldova as an independent state before 1 April 2023?

34%

Chance
26 Forecasters • 30 Forecasts
Started Aug 05, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Apr 01, 2023 07:01AM UTC

How much coal will the US export in the fourth quarter of 2022, according to the US Energy Information Administration (EIA)?

8 Forecasters • 19 Forecasts
Started Jul 29, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
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Less than 20,000 tons
10%
Between 20,000 tons and 22,000 tons, inclusive
22%
More than 22,000 tons but less than 24,000 tons
60%
Between 24,000 tons and 26,000 tons, inclusive
8%
More than 26,000 tons
0%
Sturgii asks:

What will be the percentage change in real German GDP in the fourth quarter of 2022 as compared to the fourth quarter of 2021?

29 Forecasters • 59 Forecasts
Started Jul 22, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
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Lower by 4.0% or more
6%
Lower by between 2.0% and 4.0%, inclusive
32%
Lower by more than 0.0% but less than 2.0%
60%
Higher by between 0.0% and 2.0%, inclusive
2%
Higher by more than 2.0%
0%

What will be the closing value of the euro to US dollar exchange rate on 14 October 2022?

58 Forecasters • 206 Forecasts
Started Jul 15, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 14, 2022 07:01AM UTC
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Lower than 0.85
0%
Between 0.85 and 0.90, inclusive
0%
Higher than 0.90 but lower than 0.95
3%
Between 0.95 and 1.00, inclusive
46%
Higher than 1.00 but lower than 1.05
46%
Between 1.05 and 1.10, inclusive
5%
Higher than 1.10 but lower than 1.15
0%
1.15 or higher
0%
Foxes Ask:

Will the UN declare that a famine exists in any part of a country in the Horn of Africa before 1 April 2023?

93%

Chance
44 Forecasters • 102 Forecasts
Started Jun 24, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Apr 01, 2023 07:01AM UTC

What will be the closing spot price for US natural gas on 23 December 2022?

35 Forecasters • 152 Forecasts
Started Jun 17, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 23, 2022 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Less than 4.00
0%
Between 4.00 and 5.50, inclusive
0%
More than 5.50 but less than 7.00
19%
Between 7.00 and 8.50, inclusive
24%
More than 8.50 but less than 10.00
44%
Between 10.00 and 11.50, inclusive
11%
More than 11.50 but less than 13.00
2%
Between 13.00 and 14.50, inclusive
0%
More than 14.50
0%

What will voter turnout be in the 2022 presidency elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina (Bosnia)?

13 Forecasters • 62 Forecasts
Started Jun 10, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 02, 2022 07:01AM UTC
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Less than 44.0%
0%
Between 44.0% and 48.0%, inclusive
0%
More than 48.0% but less than 52.0%
32%
Between 52.0% and 56.0%, inclusive
64%
More than 56.0%
4%
Presidency elections will not be held in 2022
0%
erikbays asks:

Will the UN declare that a famine exists in any part of Yemen before 1 April 2023?

70%

Chance
36 Forecasters • 99 Forecasts
Started Jun 03, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Apr 01, 2023 07:01AM UTC
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