Toggle navigation
Blog
Challenges
Sign In
Sign Up
Challenges
Questions
Filters
Status
Active
Coming Soon
Active
Pending Resolution
Resolved
Suspended
Type
Forecasting Questions
All
Forecasting Questions
Discussion Questions
Sort By
Start Date
End Date
Number of Predictions
Alphabetically
Filter By
Featured Questions
Questions I'm Following
Questions I've Forecasted
Questions I've Not Forecasted
Challenges
Select All
Not Part of a Challenge
(3)
only
2022 US Midterm Electi... (34)
only
Dubai Future Experts C... (7)
only
Foxes Ask (29)
only
Inflation Challenge (45)
only
In the News 2022 (169)
only
Range: A GJ Open Forec... (27)
only
Russia-Ukraine Conflict (27)
only
Superforecasting® Work... (35)
only
The Economist: The Wor... (13)
only
The Good Question Chal... (2)
only
The Sky News Challenge (1)
only
Wharton Future of Work... (4)
only
Show more
Tags
Select All
No Tags
(2)
only
Business (89)
only
Society (54)
only
US Politics (48)
only
Security and Conflict (45)
only
Technology (45)
only
Non-US Politics (40)
only
Economic Indicators (39)
only
Elections and Referenda (38)
only
Leader Entry/Exit (37)
only
Foreign Policy (36)
only
US Policy (34)
only
Finance (31)
only
Economic Policy (21)
only
Health (18)
only
Entertainment (10)
only
Environment (9)
only
Sports (9)
only
Open (1)
only
Show less
Will the spread between US high-yield corporate bonds and US Treasuries reach or exceed 8.50% before 1 December 2022?
78%
Chance
18 Forecasters • 19 Forecasts
Started
Jul 01, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Dec 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
What will US holiday season retail sales be for 2022 relative to the 2021 holiday season?
6 Forecasters • 11 Forecasts
Started
Jul 01, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Lower by 5.0% or more
0%
Lower by more than 2.5% but less than 5.0%
4%
Lower by between 0.0% and 2.5%, inclusive
7%
Higher by more than 0.0% but less than 2.5%
33%
Higher by between 2.5% and 5.0%, inclusive
29%
Higher by more than 5.0% but less than 7.5%
19%
Higher by 7.5% or more
8%
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
What will be the total number of confirmed cases of COVID-19 in Taiwan as of 31 July 2022?
27 Forecasters • 40 Forecasts
Started
Jun 28, 2022 09:00AM UTC
Closing
Aug 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Fewer than 3.8 million
0%
Between 3.8 million and 4.3 million, inclusive
32%
More than 4.3 million but fewer than 4.8 million
56%
Between 4.8 million and 5.3 million, inclusive
9%
More than 5.3 million but fewer than 5.8 million
3%
Between 5.8 million and 6.3 million, inclusive
0%
More than 6.3 million
0%
Foxes Ask:
Will the UN declare that a famine exists in any part of a country in the Horn of Africa before 1 April 2023?
68%
Chance
27 Forecasters • 42 Forecasts
Started
Jun 24, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Apr 01, 2023 07:01AM UTC
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
How many travelers will the US Transportation Security Agency (TSA) screen in December 2022?
21 Forecasters • 37 Forecasts
Started
Jun 24, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Fewer than 50 million
0%
Between 50 million and 55 million, inclusive
1%
More than 55 million but fewer than 60 million
13%
Between 60 million and 65 million, inclusive
46%
More than 65 million but fewer than 70 million
37%
Between 70 million and 75 million, inclusive
3%
More than 75 million
0%
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
What will be the national average price of a gallon of gasoline on 8 November 2022, according to the American Automobile Association (AAA)?
22 Forecasters • 34 Forecasts
Started
Jun 24, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Nov 08, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Less than $3.00
0%
Between $3.00 and $3.50, inclusive
0%
More than $3.50 but less than $4.00
0%
Between $4.00 and $4.50, inclusive
30%
More than $4.50 but less than $5.00
42%
Between $5.00 and $5.50, inclusive
27%
More than $5.50 but less than $6.00
1%
Between $6.00 and $6.50, inclusive
0%
More than $6.50
0%
What will be the closing spot price for US natural gas on 23 December 2022?
27 Forecasters • 54 Forecasts
Started
Jun 17, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Dec 23, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Less than 4.00
0%
Between 4.00 and 5.50, inclusive
0%
More than 5.50 but less than 7.00
13%
Between 7.00 and 8.50, inclusive
28%
More than 8.50 but less than 10.00
25%
Between 10.00 and 11.50, inclusive
22%
More than 11.50 but less than 13.00
6%
Between 13.00 and 14.50, inclusive
6%
More than 14.50
0%
What will be the unadjusted percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for coffee in May 2023 as compared to May 2022?
18 Forecasters • 37 Forecasts
Started
Jun 17, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Jun 01, 2023 07:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Down by more than 3.0%
1%
Down by between 0.0% and 3.0%, inclusive
1%
Up by more than 0.0% but less than 3.0%
22%
Up by between 3.0% and 6.0%, inclusive
41%
Up by more than 6.0% but less than 9.0%
23%
Up by between 9.0% and 12.0%, inclusive
12%
Up by more than 12.0%
0%
What will voter turnout be in the 2022 presidency elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina (Bosnia)?
13 Forecasters • 36 Forecasts
Started
Jun 10, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Oct 02, 2022 07:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Less than 44.0%
0%
Between 44.0% and 48.0%, inclusive
0%
More than 48.0% but less than 52.0%
33%
Between 52.0% and 56.0%, inclusive
63%
More than 56.0%
4%
Presidency elections will not be held in 2022
0%
What will be the 12-month moving average of median wage growth for "Paid hourly" workers in April 2023?
21 Forecasters • 44 Forecasts
Started
Jun 10, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
May 01, 2023 07:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Less than 2.0%
0%
Between 2.0% and 4.0%, inclusive
1%
More than 4.0% but less than 6.0%
67%
Between 6.0% and 8.0%, inclusive
32%
More than 8.0%
0%
1
2
3
4
5
…
Next ›
Last »
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username
Publish Anonymously
Cancel