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Will legislation amending or repealing Section 230 of the Communications Act of 1934 become law before 1 October 2022?

4%

Chance
28 Forecasters • 38 Forecasts
Started Oct 15, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Will a cryptocurrency exchange-traded fund (ETF) trade on the NYSE and/or NASDAQ stock exchanges before 31 December 2022?

73%

Chance
42 Forecasters • 58 Forecasts
Started Oct 08, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 31, 2022 08:01AM UTC

What will be the closing yield for the US 10 yr Treasury on 30 December 2022?

57 Forecasters • 79 Forecasts
Started Oct 01, 2021 04:00AM UTC
Closing Dec 30, 2022 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Lower than 0%
0%
Between 0% and 1%, inclusive
12%
Higher than 1% but lower than 2%
57%
Between 2% and 3%, inclusive
29%
Higher than 3% but lower than 4%
2%
4% or higher
0%
Columbus asks:

Before 1 January 2023, will the Taipei Economic and Cultural Representative Office officially change its name to include the word Taiwan?

14%

Chance
24 Forecasters • 35 Forecasts
Started Sep 30, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC

In United States v. Tsarnaev, will the Supreme Court reinstate the death sentence imposed against Boston Marathon bomber Dzhokhar Tsarnaev?

72%

Chance
49 Forecasters • 93 Forecasts
Started Sep 10, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
Columbus asks:

Before 1 January 2022, will the Nord Stream 2 pipeline begin delivering natural gas to Germany?

50%

Chance
77 Forecasters • 337 Forecasts
Started Aug 06, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Before 1 January 2023, will Amazon announce that it will spin off Amazon Web Services (AWS)?

15%

Chance
89 Forecasters • 156 Forecasts
Started Jul 21, 2021 02:28PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
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