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Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Will Poland publicly announce that it has joined or is joining the European Sky Shield Initiative (ESSI) before 9 November 2024?

Closed May 20, 2024 04:00PM UTC · 38 · 196

How much liquified natural gas (LNG) will the US export between January 2024 and June 2024?

Closed Jul 01, 2024 02:00PM UTC · 24 · 181

When will US legislation appropriating at least $1 billion of new funding for government and/or military assistance to Ukraine become law?

Closed Apr 19, 2024 01:00PM UTC · 63 · 356

Before 6 July 2024, will American journalist Evan Gershkovich leave Russia?

Closed Jul 06, 2024 02:00PM UTC · 85 · 212

Will there be a lethal confrontation between the national military forces and/or law enforcement of Russia and those of a NATO member state resulting in at least three fatalities before 1 September 2024?

Closed Sep 01, 2024 02:00PM UTC · 178 · 514

Will any territory in Crimea that was Russian-controlled before 24 February 2022 cease to be under "Assessed Russian Control" before 15 August 2024, according to the Institute for the Study of War (ISW)?

Closed Aug 15, 2024 08:00PM UTC · 145 · 468

When will the "land bridge" between Crimea and Russia be severed, according to the Institute for the Study of War (ISW)?

Closed Jul 30, 2024 02:00PM UTC · 130 · 529

Will territory in any Ukrainian oblast that borders Belarus cease to be under Ukrainian control before 1 May 2024, according to the Institute for the Study of War?

Closed May 01, 2024 01:00PM UTC · 114 · 341

Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Before 1 July 2024, will NATO or a NATO member state publicly accuse Russia of attacking a crewed, non-Ukrainian-flagged vessel in the Black Sea outside of Ukrainian and Russian territorial waters?

Closed Jul 01, 2024 02:00PM UTC · 132 · 503

What will be the price of natural gas in Europe on 16 February 2024?

Closed Feb 16, 2024 11:00PM UTC · 82 · 415