Good Judgment® Open

Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Before 1 October 2023, will the Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) execute a military strike within the territory of Iran?

Closing Oct 01, 2023 07:01AM UTC · 141 · 667

When will US total nonfarm payrolls next decrease in a given month?

Closing Oct 01, 2023 07:01AM UTC · 58 · 477

The Economist asks:

Will Vladimir Putin cease to be the president of the Russian Federation before 1 October 2023?

Closing Oct 01, 2023 07:01AM UTC · 671 · 2425

The Economist asks:

What will be the market capitalization for the global cryptocurrency market on 30 September 2023, according to CoinMarketCap?

Closing Oct 01, 2023 07:01AM UTC · 243 · 1061

The Economist asks:

Before 1 October 2023, will Russia detonate a nuclear device in Ukrainian territory, territorial waters, or airspace?

Closing Oct 01, 2023 07:01AM UTC · 616 · 1557

The Economist and Chrisp ask:

Will Giorgia Meloni cease to be the prime minister of Italy before 1 October 2023?

Closing Oct 01, 2023 07:01AM UTC · 328 · 895

The Economist asks:

Will there be a lethal confrontation between the national military forces, militia, and/or law enforcement personnel of Taiwan and the People's Republic of China (PRC) before 1 October 2023?

Closing Oct 01, 2023 07:01AM UTC · 382 · 932

UBS asks:

Will monthly global land and sea temperature anomalies reach or exceed 1.4°C before October 2023, according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA)?

Closing Oct 01, 2023 07:01AM UTC · 96 · 312

Between 7 February 2023 and 30 September 2023, will an industrial customer in the US sign a binding sales agreement (aka offtake agreement) to purchase 50 million or more standard cubic feet per day (MSCFD) of blue hydrogen?

Closing Oct 01, 2023 07:01AM UTC · 34 · 128

What will be the US annual real GDP growth rate for the third quarter of 2023?

Closing Oct 01, 2023 07:01AM UTC · 32 · 229