Status

Type

Sort By

024_andrew and The Economist ask:

Before 18 September 2021, will Boris Johnson cease to be prime minister of the United Kingdom?

0%

Chance
591 Forecasters • 1869 Forecasts
Started Sep 18, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Sep 18, 2021 07:01AM UTC
The Economist asks:

When will a new Dutch government be sworn in after the 2021 general election?

131 Forecasters • 884 Forecasts
Started Jan 15, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Sep 18, 2021 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Between 18 March 2021 and 17 June 2021
0%
Between 18 June 2021 and 17 September 2021
0%
Not before 18 September 2021
100%
The Economist asks:

How many seats will the United Russia party win in the 2021 Russian State Duma elections?

154 Forecasters • 525 Forecasts
Started Jan 15, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Sep 19, 2021 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Fewer than 226 seats
0%
Between 226 seats and 299 seats
16%
300 seats or more
84%
Russian State Duma elections will not be held before 20 September 2021
0%
024_andrew asks:

Will the Liberal Party win a majority of seats in the 2021 Canadian parliamentary elections?

5%

Chance
67 Forecasters • 191 Forecasts
Started Aug 20, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Sep 20, 2021 07:01AM UTC
CJH asks:

Following the 2021 German Bundestag elections, which parties will be part of the new government?

115 Forecasters • 684 Forecasts
Started Apr 16, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Sep 26, 2021 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
The CDU but not the Green Party
12%
The Green Party but not the CDU
37%
Both the CDU and the Green Party
39%
Neither the CDU nor the Green Party
0%
No government will be formed before 31 December 2021
12%
The Economist asks:

Before 1 October 2021, will Jair Bolsonaro cease to be the president of Brazil?

0%

Chance
277 Forecasters • 719 Forecasts
Started Nov 27, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
The Economist asks:

Before 1 October 2021, will any group of Amazon employees in the U.S. vote in the affirmative to form a union?

0%

Chance
202 Forecasters • 663 Forecasts
Started Jan 08, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
The Economist asks:

Will the Nobel Foundation announce that artificial intelligence has won or would be eligible to win a Nobel Prize in Physiology or Medicine before 2036?

3%

Chance
172 Forecasters • 214 Forecasts
Started Jun 27, 2021 03:00AM UTC
Closing Oct 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
The Economist asks:

How many RNA vaccines and therapeutics for humans will be FDA-approved as of 2031?

122 Forecasters • 184 Forecasts
Started Jun 27, 2021 03:00AM UTC
Closing Oct 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Fewer than 10
6%
Between 10 and 100, inclusive
65%
More than 100 but fewer than 250
24%
Between 250 and 500, inclusive
5%
More than 500
0%
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username
Cancel