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The Economist asks:

How many seats will the United Russia party win in the 2021 Russian State Duma elections?

157 Forecasters • 531 Forecasts
Started Jan 15, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Sep 19, 2021 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Fewer than 226 seats
0%
Between 226 seats and 299 seats
15%
300 seats or more
85%
Russian State Duma elections will not be held before 20 September 2021
0%
024_andrew asks:

Will the Liberal Party win a majority of seats in the 2021 Canadian parliamentary elections?

6%

Chance
69 Forecasters • 199 Forecasts
Started Aug 20, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Sep 20, 2021 07:01AM UTC
CJH asks:

Following the 2021 German Bundestag elections, which parties will be part of the new government?

115 Forecasters • 687 Forecasts
Started Apr 16, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Sep 26, 2021 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
The CDU but not the Green Party
12%
The Green Party but not the CDU
37%
Both the CDU and the Green Party
39%
Neither the CDU nor the Green Party
0%
No government will be formed before 31 December 2021
12%
The Economist asks:

Before 1 October 2021, will Jair Bolsonaro cease to be the president of Brazil?

0%

Chance
278 Forecasters • 721 Forecasts
Started Nov 27, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
The Economist asks:

Before 1 October 2021, will any group of Amazon employees in the U.S. vote in the affirmative to form a union?

0%

Chance
203 Forecasters • 665 Forecasts
Started Jan 08, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
The Economist asks:

Will the Nobel Foundation announce that artificial intelligence has won or would be eligible to win a Nobel Prize in Physiology or Medicine before 2036?

3%

Chance
172 Forecasters • 215 Forecasts
Started Jun 27, 2021 03:00AM UTC
Closing Oct 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
The Economist asks:

How many RNA vaccines and therapeutics for humans will be FDA-approved as of 2031?

122 Forecasters • 185 Forecasts
Started Jun 27, 2021 03:00AM UTC
Closing Oct 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Fewer than 10
6%
Between 10 and 100, inclusive
65%
More than 100 but fewer than 250
24%
Between 250 and 500, inclusive
5%
More than 500
0%
belikewater asks:

When will the World Health Organization (WHO) report 40 million or more confirmed cases of COVID-19 in India?

114 Forecasters • 675 Forecasts
Started May 07, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Before 1 July 2021
0%
Between 1 July 2021 and 31 July 2021
0%
Between 1 August 2021 and 31 August 2021
0%
Between 1 September 2021 and 30 September 2021
0%
Not before 1 October 2021
100%
The Economist asks:

When will the first human have lived for 180 consecutive Earth days on or under the surface of the moon?

181 Forecasters • 237 Forecasts
Started Jun 27, 2021 03:00AM UTC
Closing Oct 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Before 2030
3%
Between 2030 and 2039
41%
Between 2040 and 2049
35%
Not before 2050
21%
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