Good Judgment® Open

Will "X Corp.," formerly known as Twitter, file for bankruptcy in the US before 7 December 2024?

Closing Dec 07, 2024 08:01AM UTC · 116 · 492

Zauchka asks:

Will Valery Gerasimov cease to be the Chief of the General Staff of the Russian Armed Forces before 5 November 2024?

Closing Nov 05, 2024 08:01AM UTC · 51 · 231

Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Will the value of the "misery index" for the eurozone reach or exceed 17.5% for any month in 2023 or 2024?

Closing Jan 01, 2025 08:01AM UTC · 72 · 343

Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Will the US publicly accuse a state actor of committing an act of cyberwar against critical infrastructure of the US before 1 January 2025?

Closing Jan 01, 2025 08:01AM UTC · 75 · 361

Will the UN officially declare that a famine exists in any part of the Gaza Strip before 1 January 2025?

Closing Jan 01, 2025 08:01AM UTC · 41 · 82

Will the UN declare that a famine exists in any part of Yemen before 1 January 2025?

Closing Jan 01, 2025 08:01AM UTC · 52 · 224

Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Will the UK have a confirmed human death from either human to human or animal to human transmission of the Marburg virus, taking place exclusively within the country, before 1 April 2025?

Closing Apr 01, 2025 07:01AM UTC · 36 · 45

Will the spread between US high-yield corporate bonds and US Treasuries reach or exceed 4.0% before 2 November 2024?

Closing Nov 02, 2024 07:01AM UTC · 19 · 123

Will the S&P 500 Index close lower by 5.0% or more in a single trading day before 5 November 2024?

Closing Nov 04, 2024 08:01AM UTC · 88 · 327

Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Will there be more live births in the US in 2024 than in 2023?

Closing Jan 01, 2025 08:01AM UTC · 72 · 216