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Econja2018
asks:
Will Vladimir Putin cease to be the president of the Russian Federation before 1 January 2022?
2%
Chance
119 Forecasters • 144 Forecasts
Started
Feb 10, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing
Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Will U.S. President Joe Biden and Russian President Vladimir Putin hold a bilateral meeting in 2021?
10%
Chance
184 Forecasters • 320 Forecasts
Started
Jan 22, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing
Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
The Economist
asks:
Will the U.S. leveraged loan default rate reach or exceed 5.0% before 1 September 2021?
4%
Chance
87 Forecasters • 219 Forecasts
Started
Jan 08, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing
Sep 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
The
Mercator Institute for China Studies (MERICS)
asks:
Will the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) and/or the EU's European Medicines Agency (EMA) approve a COVID-19 vaccine from Chinese companies Sinovac or Sinopharm before 1 September 2021?
208 Forecasters • 392 Forecasts
Started
Dec 18, 2020 07:00PM UTC
Closing
Sep 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Yes, only by the FDA
0%
Yes, only by the EMA
5%
Yes, by both the FDA and the EMA
0%
No
95%
Balzac
asks:
Will the U.S. consume more energy from renewable sources in May 2021 than it did in May 2019, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA)?
97%
Chance
185 Forecasters • 304 Forecasts
Started
Nov 13, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closing
Jun 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Will the United States report more deaths attributed to COVID-19 as of 31 December 2021 than will the European Union?
6%
Chance
100 Forecasters • 219 Forecasts
Started
Jan 29, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing
Dec 31, 2021 08:01AM UTC
The
Mercator Institute for China Studies (MERICS)
asks:
Will the United States and China sign a trade agreement before 1 July 2021?
1%
Chance
223 Forecasters • 335 Forecasts
Started
Dec 18, 2020 07:00PM UTC
Closing
Jul 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Will the UN declare that a famine exists in any part of Yemen in 2021?
35%
Chance
78 Forecasters • 160 Forecasts
Started
Jan 22, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing
Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Will the Scottish National Party win a majority of seats in the next Scottish Parliament election?
90%
Chance
137 Forecasters • 209 Forecasts
Started
Jan 15, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing
May 06, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Will there be an act of domestic terrorism in the United States resulting in 10 or more fatalities before 1 January 2022?
25%
Chance
101 Forecasters • 158 Forecasts
Started
Feb 10, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing
Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
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