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Hanyfawwaz and David Epstein ask:

Will Vladimir Putin cease to be the president of the Russian Federation before 1 January 2023?

10%

Chance
522 Forecasters • 1595 Forecasts
Started Feb 26, 2022 05:30PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
Private Superforecasting Workshop and David Epstein ask:

Will US real GDP contract in both the third quarter (Q3) and fourth quarter (Q4) of 2022?

30%

Chance
90 Forecasters • 359 Forecasts
Started Apr 08, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Will US federal legislation providing for new tax credits for the purchase of electric vehicles (EVs) become law before 19 August 2022?

2%

Chance
48 Forecasters • 152 Forecasts
Started Feb 18, 2022 06:00PM UTC
Closing Aug 19, 2022 07:01AM UTC
The Economist asks:

Will Tunisia hold a constitutional referendum before 1 August 2022?

75%

Chance
159 Forecasters • 386 Forecasts
Started Dec 17, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Aug 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
The Economist asks:

Will total fire activity in the Amazon for January through September 2022 exceed the total for January through September 2021?

84%

Chance
168 Forecasters • 351 Forecasts
Started Jan 07, 2022 06:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
erikbays asks:

Will the UN declare that a famine exists in any part of Yemen before 1 April 2023?

60%

Chance
30 Forecasters • 51 Forecasts
Started Jun 03, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Apr 01, 2023 07:01AM UTC
erikbays asks:

Will the UN declare that a famine exists in any part of an ECOWAS member state in Western Africa before 1 April 2023?

57%

Chance
33 Forecasters • 58 Forecasts
Started May 27, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Apr 01, 2023 07:01AM UTC

Will the UN declare that a famine exists in any part of Afghanistan in 2022?

48%

Chance
120 Forecasters • 339 Forecasts
Started Jan 28, 2022 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
Foxes Ask:

Will the UN declare that a famine exists in any part of a country in the Horn of Africa before 1 April 2023?

83%

Chance
14 Forecasters • 19 Forecasts
Started Jun 24, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Apr 01, 2023 07:01AM UTC
David Epstein asks:

Will the UK or EU trigger Article 16 of the Northern Ireland Protocol before 20 August 2022?

2%

Chance
54 Forecasters • 163 Forecasts
Started May 20, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Aug 20, 2022 07:01AM UTC
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