Good Judgment® Open

Will "X Corp.," formerly known as Twitter, file for bankruptcy in the US before 7 December 2024?

Closing Dec 07, 2024 08:01AM UTC · 114 · 471

Will Venezuelan opposition leader María Corina Machado be detained or arrested by Venezuelan authorities before 5 October 2024?

Closing Oct 05, 2024 07:01AM UTC · 31 · 88

Zauchka asks:

Will Valery Gerasimov cease to be the Chief of the General Staff of the Russian Armed Forces before 5 November 2024?

Closing Nov 05, 2024 08:01AM UTC · 50 · 185

Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Will the value of the "misery index" for the eurozone reach or exceed 17.5% for any month in 2023 or 2024?

Closing Jan 01, 2025 08:01AM UTC · 69 · 334

Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Will the US publicly accuse a state actor of committing an act of cyberwar against critical infrastructure of the US before 1 January 2025?

Closing Jan 01, 2025 08:01AM UTC · 70 · 338

Will the UN officially declare that a famine exists in any part of the Gaza Strip before 1 January 2025?

Closing Jan 01, 2025 08:01AM UTC · 35 · 59

Will the UN declare that a famine exists in any part of Yemen before 1 January 2025?

Closing Jan 01, 2025 08:01AM UTC · 52 · 206

Will the spread between US high-yield corporate bonds and US Treasuries reach or exceed 4.0% before 2 November 2024?

Closing Nov 02, 2024 07:01AM UTC · 18 · 105

Will the S&P 500 Index close lower by 5.0% or more in a single trading day before 5 November 2024?

Closing Nov 04, 2024 08:01AM UTC · 86 · 302

Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Will there be more live births in the US in 2024 than in 2023?

Closing Jan 01, 2025 08:01AM UTC · 70 · 203