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Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

What will be the total number of confirmed cases of COVID-19 in Taiwan as of 31 July 2022?

8 Forecasters • 8 Forecasts
Started Jun 28, 2022 09:00AM UTC
Closing Aug 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Fewer than 3.8 million
4%
Between 3.8 million and 4.3 million, inclusive
40%
More than 4.3 million but fewer than 4.8 million
49%
Between 4.8 million and 5.3 million, inclusive
7%
More than 5.3 million but fewer than 5.8 million
0%
Between 5.8 million and 6.3 million, inclusive
0%
More than 6.3 million
0%
Foxes Ask:

Will the UN declare that a famine exists in any part of a country in the Horn of Africa before 1 April 2023?

65%

Chance
23 Forecasters • 33 Forecasts
Started Jun 24, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Apr 01, 2023 07:01AM UTC
erikbays asks:

Will the UN declare that a famine exists in any part of Yemen before 1 April 2023?

59%

Chance
30 Forecasters • 55 Forecasts
Started Jun 03, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Apr 01, 2023 07:01AM UTC
erikbays asks:

Will the UN declare that a famine exists in any part of an ECOWAS member state in Western Africa before 1 April 2023?

41%

Chance
33 Forecasters • 63 Forecasts
Started May 27, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Apr 01, 2023 07:01AM UTC
David Epstein and belikewater ask:

As of 31 August 2022, how many confirmed cases of monkeypox will be reported in countries where the disease is not endemic, according to Global Health?

65 Forecasters • 345 Forecasts
Started May 27, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Aug 31, 2022 07:01AM UTC
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Fewer than 1,000
0%
Between 1,000 and 5,000, inclusive
0%
More than 5,000 but fewer than 25,000
43%
Between 25,000 and 100,000, inclusive
44%
More than 100,000 but fewer than 250,000
13%
250,000 or more
0%
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Between 20 May 2022 and 31 December 2022, will the 7-day rolling average of daily new confirmed cases of COVID-19 in China reach or exceed 100,000?

8%

Chance
38 Forecasters • 58 Forecasts
Started May 20, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC

As of 8 November 2022, how many birds in commercial and backyard flocks will have confirmations of highly pathogenic avian flu (HPAI) in 2022, according to the USDA?

24 Forecasters • 147 Forecasts
Started Apr 22, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 08, 2022 08:01AM UTC
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Fewer than 40 million
0%
Between 40 million and 50 million, inclusive
85%
More than 50 million but fewer than 70 million
15%
Between 70 million and 100 million, inclusive
0%
More than 100 million but fewer than 150 million
0%
150 million or more
0%
David Epstein asks:

How many travelers will the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA) screen in October 2022?

44 Forecasters • 175 Forecasts
Started Apr 15, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
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Fewer than 50 million
0%
Between 50 million and 58 million, inclusive
5%
More than 58 million but fewer than 66 million
65%
Between 66 million and 74 million, inclusive
30%
More than 74 million
0%

What will be the value of the FAO Cereals Price Index for February 2023?

31 Forecasters • 126 Forecasts
Started Apr 08, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Mar 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
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Less than 120.0
0%
Between 120.0 and 140.0, inclusive
0%
More than 140.0 but less than 160.0
6%
Between 160.0 and 180.0, inclusive
44%
More than 180.0 but less than 200.0
36%
Between 200.0 and 220.0, inclusive
13%
More than 220.0 but less than 240.0
1%
240.0 or more
0%

What will be the value of the FAO Meat Price Index for February 2023?

27 Forecasters • 119 Forecasts
Started Apr 08, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Mar 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Less than 105.0
0%
Between 105.0 and 114.0, inclusive
0%
More than 114.0 but less than 123.0
2%
Between 123.0 and 132.0, inclusive
22%
More than 132.0 but less than 141.0
39%
Between 141.0 and 150.0, inclusive
28%
More than 150.0 but less than 159.0
9%
159.0 or more
0%
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