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Will the New START treaty be extended by Russia and the U.S. before 6 February 2021?
100%
Chance
114 Forecasters • 257 Forecasts
Started
Jan 08, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closed
Feb 03, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Will North Korea launch an ICBM with a length of at least 20 meters before 1 December 2020?
0%
Chance
142 Forecasters • 274 Forecasts
Started
Nov 09, 2020 11:00PM UTC
Closed
Dec 01, 2020 08:01AM UTC
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Will Russia and the People's Republic of China (PRC) conduct any joint naval exercises before 1 March 2021?
100%
Chance
155 Forecasters • 430 Forecasts
Started
Nov 09, 2020 11:00PM UTC
Closed
Feb 15, 2021 03:00AM UTC
Before 1 January 2021, will the Council of the European Union decide to impose an arms embargo against Turkey?
0%
Chance
99 Forecasters • 192 Forecasts
Started
Nov 06, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closed
Jan 01, 2021 08:01AM UTC
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Will the UN Security Council or UN General Assembly vote on a resolution concerning outer space before 1 May 2021?
83 Forecasters • 276 Forecasts
Started
Sep 25, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closed
Dec 07, 2020 09:00PM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Between 15 September 2020 and 30 November 2020, will a country cease to formally recognize Taiwan?
0%
Chance
176 Forecasters • 475 Forecasts
Started
Sep 15, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closed
Dec 01, 2020 08:01AM UTC
sebawi
asks:
When will the EU add the U.S. to its list of countries for which member states should gradually lift travel restrictions?
253 Forecasters • 665 Forecasts
Started
Jul 31, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closed
Nov 01, 2020 07:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Between 25 July 2020 and 25 November 2020, will a lethal confrontation in Libya result in five or more fatalities for Egyptian armed forces?
0%
Chance
161 Forecasters • 496 Forecasts
Started
Jul 24, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closed
Nov 26, 2020 08:01AM UTC
Before 26 December 2020, will the Australian government accuse the Chinese government, by name, of being behind the "copy-paste compromises" cyberattacks?
0%
Chance
128 Forecasters • 406 Forecasts
Started
Jun 26, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closed
Dec 26, 2020 08:01AM UTC
The Economist
asks:
Between 19 June 2020 and 30 September 2020, will there be a lethal confrontation between the national military forces, militia, and/or law enforcement personnel of India and the People's Republic of China?
0%
Chance
298 Forecasters • 1401 Forecasts
Started
Jun 19, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closed
Oct 01, 2020 07:01AM UTC
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