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Between April 2022 and June 2023, when will Japan's Consumer Price Index all items less fresh food (CPI ex FF) exceed 2.0% for three consecutive months?

18 Forecasters • 21 Forecasts
Started May 13, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 01, 2023 07:01AM UTC
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Before September 2022
69%
Between September 2022 and January 2023
30%
Between February 2023 and June 2023
1%
Not before July 2023
0%
David Epstein asks:

How many total vehicles will be sold in the US in 2022?

40 Forecasters • 84 Forecasts
Started Apr 29, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
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Fewer than 13.0 million
2%
Between 13.0 million and 13.6 million, inclusive
22%
More than 13.6 million but fewer than 14.2 million
33%
Between 14.2 million and 14.8 million, inclusive
28%
More than 14.8 million but fewer than 15.4 million
13%
Between 15.4 million and 16.0 million, inclusive
2%
More than 16.0 million
0%
David Epstein asks:

What will be the average price of a gallon of gasoline in the US for the week ending 19 December 2022?

82 Forecasters • 172 Forecasts
Started Apr 15, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 19, 2022 08:01AM UTC
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Less than 3.000
0%
Between 3.000 and 3.400, inclusive
5%
More than 3.400 but less than 3.800
18%
Between 3.800 and 4.200, inclusive
31%
More than 4.200 but less than 4.600
31%
Between 4.600 and 5.000, inclusive
15%
More than 5.000
0%
David Epstein asks:

What will be the 12-month percentage change in the US core Consumer Price Index (CPI) for October 2022?

60 Forecasters • 183 Forecasts
Started Apr 15, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
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Lower than 3.0%
0%
Between 3.0% and 4.5%, inclusive
12%
Higher than 4.5% but lower than 6.0%
47%
Between 6.0% and 7.5%, inclusive
30%
Higher than 7.5% but lower than 9.0%
11%
9.0% or higher
0%
David Epstein asks:

What will be the 12-month percentage change in the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) for December 2022?

52 Forecasters • 141 Forecasts
Started Apr 15, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
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Lower than 3.5%
0%
Between 3.5% and 5.0%, inclusive
0%
Higher than 5.0% but lower than 6.5%
35%
Between 6.5% and 8.0%, inclusive
47%
Higher than 8.0% but lower than 9.5%
17%
9.5% or higher
1%
David Epstein asks:

What will be the annualized rate of US housing starts for October 2022?

36 Forecasters • 107 Forecasts
Started Apr 15, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
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Fewer than 1.4 million
2%
Between 1.4 million and 1.6 million, inclusive
23%
More than 1.6 million but fewer than 1.8 million
53%
Between 1.8 million and 2.0 million, inclusive
22%
More than 2.0 million but fewer than 2.2 million
0%
2.2 million or more
0%
David Epstein asks:

How many travelers will the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA) screen in October 2022?

40 Forecasters • 114 Forecasts
Started Apr 15, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
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Fewer than 50 million
0%
Between 50 million and 58 million, inclusive
3%
More than 58 million but fewer than 66 million
57%
Between 66 million and 74 million, inclusive
40%
More than 74 million
0%

What will be the value of the FAO Cereals Price Index for February 2023?

29 Forecasters • 88 Forecasts
Started Apr 08, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Mar 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
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Less than 120.0
0%
Between 120.0 and 140.0, inclusive
0%
More than 140.0 but less than 160.0
7%
Between 160.0 and 180.0, inclusive
44%
More than 180.0 but less than 200.0
40%
Between 200.0 and 220.0, inclusive
8%
More than 220.0 but less than 240.0
1%
240.0 or more
0%

What will be the value of the FAO Meat Price Index for February 2023?

26 Forecasters • 84 Forecasts
Started Apr 08, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Mar 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
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Less than 105.0
0%
Between 105.0 and 114.0, inclusive
0%
More than 114.0 but less than 123.0
1%
Between 123.0 and 132.0, inclusive
21%
More than 132.0 but less than 141.0
34%
Between 141.0 and 150.0, inclusive
34%
More than 150.0 but less than 159.0
10%
159.0 or more
0%
Private Superforecasting Workshop and David Epstein ask:

Will US real GDP contract in both the third quarter (Q3) and fourth quarter (Q4) of 2022?

20%

Chance
77 Forecasters • 221 Forecasts
Started Apr 08, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
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