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What will the Italy-Germany 10-year bond spread be on 20 October 2019?

18 Forecasters • 40 Forecasts
Started Jun 07, 2019 11:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 19, 2019 06:59AM UTC
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Less than 2.30
7%
Between 2.30 and 2.70, inclusive
25%
More than 2.70 but less than 3.10
40%
Between 3.10 and 3.50, inclusive
19%
More than 3.50
9%
Nesta asks

What will be the closing value for the pound against the euro on 1 November 2019?

44 Forecasters • 67 Forecasts
Started Jun 07, 2019 11:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 31, 2019 06:59AM UTC
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Below 1.00
27%
Between 1.00 and 1.10, inclusive
31%
More than 1.10 but less than 1.20
28%
Between 1.20 and 1.30, inclusive
9%
More than 1.30
5%
The Economist ask

On 25 September 2019, what will be Venezuela's annual inflation rate according to Bloomberg's Cafe Con Leche Index?

50 Forecasters • 82 Forecasts
Started May 24, 2019 04:45PM UTC
Closing Sep 24, 2019 06:59AM UTC
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Less than 50,000%
59%
Between 50,000% and 100,000%, inclusive
19%
Between 100,000% and 200,000%
13%
Between 200,000% and 500,000%, inclusive
5%
More than 500,000%
4%
The Mack Institute asks

What will be the price of regular gasoline in the U.S. per gallon on 30 December 2019?

95 Forecasters • 139 Forecasts
Started Apr 26, 2019 05:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 30, 2019 07:59AM UTC
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Less than $2.400
12%
Between $2.400 and $2.650, inclusive
26%
More than $2.650 but less than $2.900
33%
Between $2.900 and $3.150, inclusive
18%
More than $3.150
11%

Before 1 August 2019, will Citgo Petroleum Corporation or any of its wholly-owned subsidiaries (Citgo) file for bankruptcy protection in the United States?

15%

Chance
151 Forecasters • 282 Forecasts
Started Mar 01, 2019 06:00PM UTC
Closing Aug 01, 2019 06:59AM UTC

What will be the end-of-day closing value for the U.S. dollar against the Mexican peso on 29 November 2019?

75 Forecasters • 219 Forecasts
Started Feb 08, 2019 06:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 29, 2019 07:59AM UTC
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Less than Mex$17.5000
4%
Between Mex$17.5000 and Mex$18.5000, inclusive
14%
More than Mex$18.5000 but less than Mex$19.5000
39%
Between Mex$19.5000 and Mex$20.5000, inclusive
34%
More than Mex$20.5000
9%
Nesta asks

What will be the percentage change in average UK house prices over the 12-month period to September 2019?

718 Forecasters • 871 Forecasts
Started Jan 24, 2019 05:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 01, 2019 06:59AM UTC
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Less than -3.0%
10%
Between -3.0% and -1.0%, inclusive
20%
More than -1.0% but less than 1.0%
30%
Between 1.0% and 3.0%, inclusive
30%
More than 3.0%
10%
  Fareed Zakaria GPS asks

Will the United States experience two consecutive quarters of a negative real GDP growth rate in 2019?

15%

Chance
1741 Forecasters • 2350 Forecasts
Started Jan 04, 2019 10:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2020 07:59AM UTC

When will Fitch, Moody's, or S&P next downgrade the United Kingdom's long-term local or foreign currency issuer ratings?

114 Forecasters • 271 Forecasts
Started Dec 21, 2018 08:00AM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2020 07:59AM UTC
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Before 30 March 2019
3%
Between 30 March 2019 and 31 July 2019, inclusive
3%
Between 1 August 2019 and 31 December 2019, inclusive
27%
Not before 1 January 2020
67%