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What will the Italy-Germany 10-year bond spread be on 16 December 2022?

7 Forecasters • 8 Forecasts
Started Jun 24, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 16, 2022 08:01AM UTC
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Less than 1.00%
0%
Between 1.00% and 1.50%, inclusive
5%
More than 1.50% but less than 2.00%
20%
Between 2.00% and 2.50%, inclusive
25%
More than 2.50% but less than 3.00%
34%
Between 3.00% and 3.50%, inclusive
12%
More than 3.50%
4%

What will be the closing value of the US dollar/Japanese yen exchange rate on 16 December 2022?

18 Forecasters • 28 Forecasts
Started Jun 17, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 16, 2022 08:01AM UTC
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Lower than 100.00
0%
Between 100.00 and 110.00, inclusive
0%
Higher than 110.00 but lower than 120.00
24%
Between 120.00 and 130.00, inclusive
31%
Higher than 130.00 but lower than 140.00
28%
Between 140.00 and 150.00, inclusive
15%
Higher than 150.00 but lower than 160.00
2%
160.00 or more
0%
SE_Meyer asks:

What will be the closing value of the ICE US Dollar Index on 16 September 2022?

29 Forecasters • 78 Forecasts
Started Jun 10, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Sep 16, 2022 07:01AM UTC
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Less than 95.00
1%
Between 95.00 and 100.00, inclusive
5%
More than 100.00 but less than 105.00
34%
Between 105.00 and 110.00, inclusive
48%
More than 110.00 but less than 115.00
12%
115.00 or more
0%

What will be the value of the US "M2" money supply as of 26 June 2023?

29 Forecasters • 50 Forecasts
Started Jun 03, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jun 26, 2023 07:01AM UTC
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Less than $19,250.0 billion
0%
Between $19,250.0 billion and $20,000.0 billion, inclusive
0%
More than $20,000.0 billion but less than $20,750.0 billion
0%
Between $20,750.0 billion and $21,500.0 billion, inclusive
0%
More than $21,500.0 billion
100%
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

At close of business on 31 December 2022, what will be the upper limit of the US federal funds target range?

50 Forecasters • 132 Forecasts
Started May 27, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
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Lower than 1.75
0%
Between 1.75 and 2.25, inclusive
1%
Higher than 2.25 but lower than 3.25
78%
Between 3.25 and 3.75, inclusive
21%
Higher than 3.75
0%

Will Gotabaya Rajapaksa cease to be the president of Sri Lanka before 20 July 2022?

2%

Chance
42 Forecasters • 86 Forecasts
Started May 20, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 20, 2022 07:01AM UTC
David Epstein asks:

Will the UK or EU trigger Article 16 of the Northern Ireland Protocol before 20 August 2022?

2%

Chance
54 Forecasters • 163 Forecasts
Started May 20, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Aug 20, 2022 07:01AM UTC

Between April 2022 and June 2023, when will Japan's Consumer Price Index all items less fresh food (CPI ex FF) exceed 2.0% for three consecutive months?

25 Forecasters • 35 Forecasts
Started May 13, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 01, 2023 07:01AM UTC
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Before September 2022
99%
Between September 2022 and January 2023
2%
Between February 2023 and June 2023
0%
Not before July 2023
0%
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