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Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Between 20 May 2022 and 31 December 2022, will the 7-day rolling average of daily new confirmed cases of COVID-19 in China reach or exceed 100,000?

3%

Chance
18 Forecasters • 19 Forecasts
Started May 20, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Between 2 May 2022 and 27 May 2022, will the 7-day moving average of new daily cases of COVID-19 in the US reach or exceed 120,000?

97%

Chance
59 Forecasters • 187 Forecasts
Started Apr 29, 2022 08:15PM UTC
Closing May 28, 2022 07:01AM UTC

As of 8 November 2022, how many birds in commercial and backyard flocks will have confirmations of highly pathogenic avian flu (HPAI) in 2022, according to the USDA?

21 Forecasters • 80 Forecasts
Started Apr 22, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 08, 2022 08:01AM UTC
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Fewer than 40 million
1%
Between 40 million and 50 million, inclusive
52%
More than 50 million but fewer than 70 million
42%
Between 70 million and 100 million, inclusive
4%
More than 100 million but fewer than 150 million
1%
150 million or more
0%
David Epstein asks:

How many travelers will the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA) screen in October 2022?

40 Forecasters • 109 Forecasts
Started Apr 15, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
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Fewer than 50 million
0%
Between 50 million and 58 million, inclusive
3%
More than 58 million but fewer than 66 million
56%
Between 66 million and 74 million, inclusive
41%
More than 74 million
0%

What will be the value of the FAO Cereals Price Index for February 2023?

27 Forecasters • 84 Forecasts
Started Apr 08, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Mar 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
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Less than 120.0
0%
Between 120.0 and 140.0, inclusive
0%
More than 140.0 but less than 160.0
8%
Between 160.0 and 180.0, inclusive
35%
More than 180.0 but less than 200.0
48%
Between 200.0 and 220.0, inclusive
9%
More than 220.0 but less than 240.0
0%
240.0 or more
0%

What will be the value of the FAO Meat Price Index for February 2023?

26 Forecasters • 82 Forecasts
Started Apr 08, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Mar 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Less than 105.0
0%
Between 105.0 and 114.0, inclusive
0%
More than 114.0 but less than 123.0
1%
Between 123.0 and 132.0, inclusive
21%
More than 132.0 but less than 141.0
34%
Between 141.0 and 150.0, inclusive
34%
More than 150.0 but less than 159.0
10%
159.0 or more
0%

How many cumulative confirmed cases of COVID-19 will be reported for China as of 30 June 2022, according to Our World in Data?

45 Forecasters • 313 Forecasts
Started Apr 08, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
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Fewer than 500,000
0%
Between 500,000 and 1.0 million, inclusive
0%
More than 1.0 million but fewer than 1.5 million
90%
Between 1.5 million and 2.5 million, inclusive
10%
More than 2.5 million but fewer than 4.0 million
0%
Between 4.0 million and 6.0 million, inclusive
0%
More than 6.0 million
0%

What will be the FAO Food Price Index for January 2023?

33 Forecasters • 125 Forecasts
Started Apr 01, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Feb 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Less than 125.0
0%
Between 125.0 and 135.0, inclusive
0%
More than 135.0 but less than 145.0
8%
Between 145.0 and 155.0, inclusive
13%
More than 155.0 but less than 165.0
35%
Between 165.0 and 175.0, inclusive
29%
More than 175.0 but less than 185.0
11%
Between 185.0 and 195.0, inclusive
3%
More than 195.0
1%
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

As of 1 July 2022, will France and/or Germany require the wearing of face masks in indoor public places?

87 Forecasters • 174 Forecasts
Started Feb 25, 2022 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Yes, France only
1%
Yes, Germany only
2%
Yes, both France and Germany
5%
No
92%
GMR asks:

Between 4 February 2022 and 4 June 2022, what will be the highest seven-day average for daily new COVID-19 cases in New Zealand?

71 Forecasters • 390 Forecasts
Started Feb 04, 2022 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jun 04, 2022 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Less than 2,000
0%
Between 2,000 and 5,000, inclusive
0%
More than 5,000 but less that 10,000
0%
Between 10,000 and 20,000, inclusive
0%
More than 20,000 but less than 40,000
100%
40,000 or more
0%
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