Toggle navigation
Blog
Challenges
Sign In
Sign Up
Challenges
Questions
Status
Active
Coming Soon
Active
Pending Resolution
Resolved
Suspended
Type
Forecasting Questions
All
Forecasting Questions
Discussion Questions
Sort By
Start Date
End Date
Number of Predictions
Alphabetically
Filter By
Featured Questions
Questions I'm Following
Questions I've Forecasted
Questions I've Not Forecasted
Challenges
Select All
Not Part of a Challenge
(3)
only
2022 US Midterm Electi... (29)
only
Coronavirus Outbreak (6)
only
Dubai Future Experts C... (7)
only
Foxes Ask (25)
only
Inflation Challenge (37)
only
In the News 2022 (186)
only
Noise: A GJ Open Forec... (5)
only
Range: A GJ Open Forec... (24)
only
Russia-Ukraine Conflict (27)
only
Superforecasting® Work... (36)
only
The Economist: The Wor... (23)
only
The Good Question Chal... (3)
only
The Sky News Challenge (3)
only
Wharton Future of Work... (4)
only
Show more
Tags
Select All
No Tags
(2)
only
Business (86)
only
Society (52)
only
Non-US Politics (49)
only
Technology (48)
only
US Politics (48)
only
Security and Conflict (41)
only
Economic Indicators (38)
only
Foreign Policy (38)
only
Leader Entry/Exit (38)
only
Elections and Referenda (37)
only
US Policy (37)
only
Finance (28)
only
Health (24)
only
Economic Policy (19)
only
Entertainment (9)
only
Environment (9)
only
Sports (9)
only
Open (6)
only
Show less
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Between 20 May 2022 and 31 December 2022, will the 7-day rolling average of daily new confirmed cases of COVID-19 in China reach or exceed 100,000?
3%
Chance
18 Forecasters • 19 Forecasts
Started
May 20, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Between 2 May 2022 and 27 May 2022, will the 7-day moving average of new daily cases of COVID-19 in the US reach or exceed 120,000?
97%
Chance
59 Forecasters • 187 Forecasts
Started
Apr 29, 2022 08:15PM UTC
Closing
May 28, 2022 07:01AM UTC
As of 8 November 2022, how many birds in commercial and backyard flocks will have confirmations of highly pathogenic avian flu (HPAI) in 2022, according to the USDA?
21 Forecasters • 80 Forecasts
Started
Apr 22, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Nov 08, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Fewer than 40 million
1%
Between 40 million and 50 million, inclusive
52%
More than 50 million but fewer than 70 million
42%
Between 70 million and 100 million, inclusive
4%
More than 100 million but fewer than 150 million
1%
150 million or more
0%
David Epstein
asks:
How many travelers will the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA) screen in October 2022?
40 Forecasters • 109 Forecasts
Started
Apr 15, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Nov 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Fewer than 50 million
0%
Between 50 million and 58 million, inclusive
3%
More than 58 million but fewer than 66 million
56%
Between 66 million and 74 million, inclusive
41%
More than 74 million
0%
What will be the value of the FAO Cereals Price Index for February 2023?
27 Forecasters • 84 Forecasts
Started
Apr 08, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Mar 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Less than 120.0
0%
Between 120.0 and 140.0, inclusive
0%
More than 140.0 but less than 160.0
8%
Between 160.0 and 180.0, inclusive
35%
More than 180.0 but less than 200.0
48%
Between 200.0 and 220.0, inclusive
9%
More than 220.0 but less than 240.0
0%
240.0 or more
0%
What will be the value of the FAO Meat Price Index for February 2023?
26 Forecasters • 82 Forecasts
Started
Apr 08, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Mar 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Less than 105.0
0%
Between 105.0 and 114.0, inclusive
0%
More than 114.0 but less than 123.0
1%
Between 123.0 and 132.0, inclusive
21%
More than 132.0 but less than 141.0
34%
Between 141.0 and 150.0, inclusive
34%
More than 150.0 but less than 159.0
10%
159.0 or more
0%
How many cumulative confirmed cases of COVID-19 will be reported for China as of 30 June 2022, according to Our World in Data?
45 Forecasters • 313 Forecasts
Started
Apr 08, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Jul 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Fewer than 500,000
0%
Between 500,000 and 1.0 million, inclusive
0%
More than 1.0 million but fewer than 1.5 million
90%
Between 1.5 million and 2.5 million, inclusive
10%
More than 2.5 million but fewer than 4.0 million
0%
Between 4.0 million and 6.0 million, inclusive
0%
More than 6.0 million
0%
What will be the FAO Food Price Index for January 2023?
33 Forecasters • 125 Forecasts
Started
Apr 01, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Feb 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Less than 125.0
0%
Between 125.0 and 135.0, inclusive
0%
More than 135.0 but less than 145.0
8%
Between 145.0 and 155.0, inclusive
13%
More than 155.0 but less than 165.0
35%
Between 165.0 and 175.0, inclusive
29%
More than 175.0 but less than 185.0
11%
Between 185.0 and 195.0, inclusive
3%
More than 195.0
1%
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
As of 1 July 2022, will France and/or Germany require the wearing of face masks in indoor public places?
87 Forecasters • 174 Forecasts
Started
Feb 25, 2022 06:00PM UTC
Closing
Jul 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Yes, France only
1%
Yes, Germany only
2%
Yes, both France and Germany
5%
No
92%
GMR
asks:
Between 4 February 2022 and 4 June 2022, what will be the highest seven-day average for daily new COVID-19 cases in New Zealand?
71 Forecasters • 390 Forecasts
Started
Feb 04, 2022 06:00PM UTC
Closing
Jun 04, 2022 07:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Less than 2,000
0%
Between 2,000 and 5,000, inclusive
0%
More than 5,000 but less that 10,000
0%
Between 10,000 and 20,000, inclusive
0%
More than 20,000 but less than 40,000
100%
40,000 or more
0%
1
2
3
Next ›
Last »
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username
Publish Anonymously
Cancel