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Hanyfawwaz and David Epstein ask:

Will Vladimir Putin cease to be the president of the Russian Federation before 1 January 2023?

8%

Chance
530 Forecasters • 1647 Forecasts
Started Feb 26, 2022 05:30PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
The Economist asks:

What will be the closing price per barrel for West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil on 26 August 2022, according to Bloomberg?

249 Forecasters • 1299 Forecasts
Started Jan 21, 2022 06:00PM UTC
Closing Aug 26, 2022 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Less than $55.00
0%
Between $55.00 and $70.00, inclusive
0%
More than $70.00 but less than $85.00
0%
Between $85.00 and $100.00, inclusive
15%
More than $100.00 but less than $115.00
52%
$115.00 or more
33%

What will be the closing value of the US dollar/Russian ruble exchange rate on 15 July 2022?

159 Forecasters • 1158 Forecasts
Started Mar 04, 2022 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 15, 2022 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Lower than 75.00
99%
Between 75.00 and 100.00, inclusive
1%
Higher than 100.00 but lower than 125.00
0%
Between 125.00 and 150.00, inclusive
0%
More than 150.00
0%

What will be the closing yield for the US 10 yr Treasury on 30 December 2022?

211 Forecasters • 1043 Forecasts
Started Oct 01, 2021 04:00AM UTC
Closing Dec 30, 2022 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Lower than 0%
0%
Between 0% and 1%, inclusive
0%
Higher than 1% but lower than 2%
0%
Between 2% and 3%, inclusive
42%
Higher than 3% but lower than 4%
51%
4% or higher
7%
The Economist asks:

When will the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA) next screen 2.3 million or more travelers per day for three consecutive days?

199 Forecasters • 1041 Forecasts
Started Nov 12, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Before 1 January 2022
0%
Between 1 January 2022 and 31 March 2022
0%
Between 1 April 2022 and 30 June 2022
6%
Between 1 July 2022 and 30 September 2022
81%
Not before 1 October 2022
13%

When will Russia and Ukraine sign or announce an agreement to end the current conflict in Ukraine?

247 Forecasters • 994 Forecasts
Started Mar 18, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
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Before 1 June 2022
0%
Between 1 June 2022 and 31 July 2022
0%
Between 1 August 2022 and 30 September 2022
3%
Between 1 October 2022 and 30 November 2022
10%
Not before 1 December 2022
87%
The Economist and Private Superforecasting Workshop ask:

Will Amazon.com begin to accept any cryptocurrency for purchases on the US site before 1 October 2022?

3%

Chance
381 Forecasters • 978 Forecasts
Started Jul 30, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC

Before 1 January 2023, will the Nord Stream 2 pipeline begin delivering natural gas to Germany?

0%

Chance
294 Forecasters • 959 Forecasts
Started Jan 21, 2022 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC

Will Russia officially recognize Transnistria (Pridnestrovskaia Moldavskaia Republic) in Moldova as an independent state before 1 August 2022?

2%

Chance
231 Forecasters • 955 Forecasts
Started Feb 24, 2022 05:30PM UTC
Closing Aug 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC

What will be the price of Bitcoin on 30 November 2022?

186 Forecasters • 927 Forecasts
Started Nov 23, 2021 01:50PM UTC
Closing Nov 30, 2022 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Less than $30,000.00
58%
Between $30,000.00 and $50,000.00, inclusive
39%
More than $50,000.00 but less than $70,000.00
3%
Between $70,000.00 and $90,000.00, inclusive
0%
More than $90,000.00 but less than $110,000.00
0%
$110,000.00 or more
0%
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