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What will be the annual percentage change in the average hourly earnings of US private sector employees in October 2022?

49 Forecasters • 66 Forecasts
Started Nov 26, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 31, 2022 07:01AM UTC
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An increase of less than 2.0%
2%
An increase of between 2.0% and 3.0%, inclusive
19%
An increase of more than 3.0% but less than 4.0%
39%
An increase of between 4.0% and 5.0%, inclusive
36%
An increase of more than 5.0% but less than 6.0%
4%
An increase of 6.0% or more
0%

What will be the closing value of the Hang Seng Index on 30 June 2022?

21 Forecasters • 42 Forecasts
Started Nov 12, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jun 30, 2022 07:01AM UTC
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Less than 20,000
6%
Between 20,000 and 23,000, inclusive
21%
More than 23,000 but less than 26,000
40%
Between 26,000 and 29,000, inclusive
24%
More than 29,000 but less than 32,000
7%
32,000 or more
2%

What will be China's year-on-year GDP growth rate for the second quarter of 2022?

32 Forecasters • 58 Forecasts
Started Nov 05, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
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Less than 4.0%
21%
Between 4.0% and 5.0%, inclusive
46%
More than 5.0% but less than 6.0%
30%
Between 6.0% and 7.0%, inclusive
3%
More than 7.0%
0%
The Economist and belikewater ask:

What will be the closing price for aluminum per metric ton (MT) on 29 April 2022?

65 Forecasters • 113 Forecasts
Started Oct 29, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Apr 29, 2022 07:01AM UTC
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Lower than $2,000
0%
Between $2,000 and $2,300, inclusive
1%
Higher than $2,300 but lower than $2,600
27%
Between $2,600 and $2,900, inclusive
38%
Higher than $2,900 but lower than $3,200
28%
$3,200 or higher
6%
The Economist and Private Superforecasting Workshop ask:

What will be the US domestic auto inventory as of May 2022?

65 Forecasters • 140 Forecasts
Started Oct 22, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jun 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
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Fewer than 100.0 (thousands)
20%
Between 100.0 (thousands) and 300.0 (thousands), inclusive
61%
More than 300.0 (thousands) but fewer than 500.0 (thousands)
15%
Between 500.0 (thousands) and 700.0 (thousands), inclusive
4%
More than 700.0 (thousands)
0%
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

What will be the office vacancy rate for the Greater Toronto Area in the fourth quarter of 2022, according to Colliers?

18 Forecasters • 29 Forecasts
Started Oct 22, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
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Lower than 5.0%
0%
Between 5.0% and 7.0%, inclusive
47%
Higher than 7.0% but lower than 9.0%
44%
Between 9.0% and 11.0%, inclusive
9%
Higher than 11.0%
0%
Tim Harford asks:

What will be the value of the shipping-costs benchmark Baltic Exchange Dry Index as of 24 December 2021?

58 Forecasters • 257 Forecasts
Started Oct 08, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 24, 2021 08:01AM UTC
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Lower than 2,500.00
6%
Between 2,500.00 and 4,000.00, inclusive
75%
Higher than 4,000.00 but lower than 5,500.00
19%
Between 5,500.00 and 7,000.00, inclusive
0%
Higher than 7,000.00 but lower than 8,500.00
0%
Between 8,500.00 and 10,000.00, inclusive
0%
Higher than 10,000.00
0%

What will be the closing value of the Dow Jones Industrial Average on 31 December 2021?

61 Forecasters • 258 Forecasts
Started Oct 07, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 30, 2021 08:01AM UTC
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Lower than 33,000.00
6%
Between 33,000.00 and 34,000.00, inclusive
18%
Higher than 34,000.00 but lower than 35,000.00
32%
Between 35,000.00 and 36,000.00, inclusive
31%
Higher than 36,000.00 but lower than 37,000.00
13%
37,000.00 or more
0%
Dubai Future Experts Candidates ask:

Where will Dubai International Airport (DXB) rank among the busiest airports in the world by passenger number for 2022, according to the Airports Council International (ACI)?

37 Forecasters • 73 Forecasts
Started Oct 01, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
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1st to 3rd
3%
4th to 6th
42%
7th to 9th
36%
10th or lower
19%

What will be the closing yield for the US 10 yr Treasury on 30 December 2022?

98 Forecasters • 206 Forecasts
Started Oct 01, 2021 04:00AM UTC
Closing Dec 30, 2022 08:01AM UTC
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Lower than 0%
0%
Between 0% and 1%, inclusive
2%
Higher than 1% but lower than 2%
63%
Between 2% and 3%, inclusive
34%
Higher than 3% but lower than 4%
1%
4% or higher
0%
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