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Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
How many travelers will the US Transportation Security Agency (TSA) screen in December 2022?
18 Forecasters • 25 Forecasts
Started
Jun 24, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Fewer than 50 million
0%
Between 50 million and 55 million, inclusive
0%
More than 55 million but fewer than 60 million
6%
Between 60 million and 65 million, inclusive
47%
More than 65 million but fewer than 70 million
42%
Between 70 million and 75 million, inclusive
5%
More than 75 million
0%
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
What will be the national average price of a gallon of gasoline on 8 November 2022, according to the American Automobile Association (AAA)?
18 Forecasters • 23 Forecasts
Started
Jun 24, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Nov 08, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Less than $3.00
0%
Between $3.00 and $3.50, inclusive
0%
More than $3.50 but less than $4.00
0%
Between $4.00 and $4.50, inclusive
35%
More than $4.50 but less than $5.00
40%
Between $5.00 and $5.50, inclusive
25%
More than $5.50 but less than $6.00
0%
Between $6.00 and $6.50, inclusive
0%
More than $6.50
0%
What will be the unadjusted percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for coffee in May 2023 as compared to May 2022?
18 Forecasters • 33 Forecasts
Started
Jun 17, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Jun 01, 2023 07:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Down by more than 3.0%
2%
Down by between 0.0% and 3.0%, inclusive
6%
Up by more than 0.0% but less than 3.0%
27%
Up by between 3.0% and 6.0%, inclusive
32%
Up by more than 6.0% but less than 9.0%
21%
Up by between 9.0% and 12.0%, inclusive
12%
Up by more than 12.0%
0%
What will be the 12-month moving average of median wage growth for "Paid hourly" workers in April 2023?
20 Forecasters • 39 Forecasts
Started
Jun 10, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
May 01, 2023 07:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Less than 2.0%
0%
Between 2.0% and 4.0%, inclusive
0%
More than 4.0% but less than 6.0%
69%
Between 6.0% and 8.0%, inclusive
30%
More than 8.0%
1%
What will be the value of the US "M2" money supply as of 26 June 2023?
29 Forecasters • 50 Forecasts
Started
Jun 03, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Jun 26, 2023 07:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Less than $19,250.0 billion
0%
Between $19,250.0 billion and $20,000.0 billion, inclusive
0%
More than $20,000.0 billion but less than $20,750.0 billion
0%
Between $20,750.0 billion and $21,500.0 billion, inclusive
0%
More than $21,500.0 billion
100%
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
What will the 12-month percentage change in the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) for "Food" in November 2022?
60 Forecasters • 146 Forecasts
Started
May 27, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Dec 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Less than 5.0%
0%
Between 5.0% and 7.5%, inclusive
0%
More than 7.5% but less than 10.0%
24%
Between 10.0% and 12.5%, inclusive
52%
More than 12.5% but less than 15.0%
24%
15.0% or more
0%
Between April 2022 and June 2023, when will Japan's Consumer Price Index all items less fresh food (CPI ex FF) exceed 2.0% for three consecutive months?
25 Forecasters • 37 Forecasts
Started
May 13, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Jul 01, 2023 07:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Before September 2022
100%
Between September 2022 and January 2023
1%
Between February 2023 and June 2023
0%
Not before July 2023
0%
David Epstein
asks:
How many total vehicles will be sold in the US in 2022?
49 Forecasters • 157 Forecasts
Started
Apr 29, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Fewer than 13.0 million
6%
Between 13.0 million and 13.6 million, inclusive
33%
More than 13.6 million but fewer than 14.2 million
47%
Between 14.2 million and 14.8 million, inclusive
14%
More than 14.8 million but fewer than 15.4 million
0%
Between 15.4 million and 16.0 million, inclusive
0%
More than 16.0 million
0%
David Epstein
asks:
What will be the average price of a gallon of gasoline in the US for the week ending 19 December 2022?
97 Forecasters • 269 Forecasts
Started
Apr 15, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Dec 19, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Less than 3.000
0%
Between 3.000 and 3.400, inclusive
0%
More than 3.400 but less than 3.800
0%
Between 3.800 and 4.200, inclusive
21%
More than 4.200 but less than 4.600
42%
Between 4.600 and 5.000, inclusive
24%
More than 5.000
13%
David Epstein
asks:
What will be the 12-month percentage change in the US core Consumer Price Index (CPI) for October 2022?
74 Forecasters • 350 Forecasts
Started
Apr 15, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Nov 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Lower than 3.0%
0%
Between 3.0% and 4.5%, inclusive
0%
Higher than 4.5% but lower than 6.0%
44%
Between 6.0% and 7.5%, inclusive
51%
Higher than 7.5% but lower than 9.0%
5%
9.0% or higher
0%
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