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Will Ashraf Ghani either flee Afghanistan or cease to be its president before 1 January 2022?
100%
Chance
85 Forecasters • 268 Forecasts
Started
Jul 16, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closed
Aug 15, 2021 01:00PM UTC
Will the US fully evacuate or lose control of its embassy in Kabul, Afghanistan, before 1 December 2021?
100%
Chance
91 Forecasters • 299 Forecasts
Started
Jul 16, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closed
Aug 16, 2021 03:00AM UTC
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Between 18 June 2021 and 18 July 2021, will protests in Peru result in any fatalities?
62 Forecasters • 201 Forecasts
Started
Jun 17, 2021 10:00PM UTC
Closed
Jul 18, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
The Economist
asks:
Before 22 July 2021, will Hamas or the Israeli government accuse the other of violating the Gaza ceasefire agreed to on 20 May 2021?
0%
Chance
144 Forecasters • 737 Forecasts
Started
May 21, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closed
Jul 22, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Tolga
asks:
Will the presidents of Russia and Ukraine meet in person before 1 August 2021?
113 Forecasters • 297 Forecasts
Started
Apr 30, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closed
Aug 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Will the UN, a UN agency, and/or OECD member country publicly accuse Myanmar defense forces and/or law enforcement of using a toxic chemical against protesters to cause intentional death or physical harm through its toxic properties before 15 September 2021?
0%
Chance
126 Forecasters • 376 Forecasts
Started
Mar 26, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closed
Sep 15, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Will Russia conduct a flight test of an RS-28 Sarmat ICBM before 1 August 2021?
0%
Chance
134 Forecasters • 600 Forecasts
Started
Jan 22, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closed
Aug 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Will the New START treaty be extended by Russia and the U.S. before 6 February 2021?
100%
Chance
114 Forecasters • 257 Forecasts
Started
Jan 08, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closed
Feb 03, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Before 15 March 2021, will there be a lethal confrontation between the national military forces of Iran and the United States either in Iran or at sea?
0%
Chance
218 Forecasters • 369 Forecasts
Started
Jan 06, 2021 08:30PM UTC
Closed
Mar 15, 2021 07:01AM UTC
The Economist
asks:
On 12 May 2021, will Ethiopia's Tigray region be under a federally-imposed state of emergency?
0%
Chance
185 Forecasters • 470 Forecasts
Started
Nov 13, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closed
May 12, 2021 07:01AM UTC
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