Status

Type

Sort By

What will be the annual rate of headline inflation in the US, as measured by the Consumer Price Index (CPI), in June 2022?

840 Forecasters • 2032 Forecasts
Started Jun 18, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Less than 0.0%
0%
Between 0.0% and 2.0%, inclusive
0%
More than 2.0% but less than 3.0%
0%
Between 3.0% and 4.0%, inclusive
0%
More than 4.0% but less than 5.0%
2%
5.0% or more
98%
The Economist and DippySkippy ask:

Before 23 June 2022, will Boris Johnson cease to be prime minister of the United Kingdom?

1%

Chance
496 Forecasters • 1973 Forecasts
Started Dec 23, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jun 23, 2022 07:01AM UTC
Tylerdurden03 asks:

Will President Volodymyr Zelensky either flee Ukraine or cease to be its president before 25 May 2022?

0%

Chance
504 Forecasters • 1800 Forecasts
Started Feb 24, 2022 05:30PM UTC
Closing May 25, 2022 07:01AM UTC
Hanyfawwaz and David Epstein ask:

Will Vladimir Putin cease to be the president of the Russian Federation before 1 January 2023?

8%

Chance
492 Forecasters • 1315 Forecasts
Started Feb 26, 2022 05:30PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
The Economist asks:

What will be Facebook's end-of-day market capitalization on 31 May 2022?

165 Forecasters • 1213 Forecasts
Started Oct 07, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing May 31, 2022 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Less than $600 billion
95%
Between $600 billion and $850 billion, inclusive
5%
More than $850 billion but less than $1.10 trillion
0%
Between $1.10 trillion and $1.35 trillion, inclusive
0%
More than $1.35 trillion
0%
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

What will be the closing value of the S&P 500 Index on 30 June 2022?

100 Forecasters • 968 Forecasts
Started Jun 17, 2021 08:00PM UTC
Closing Jun 30, 2022 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Less than 3,800
17%
Between 3,800 and 4,100, inclusive
48%
More than 4,100 but less than 4,400
29%
Between 4,400 and 4,700, inclusive
6%
More than 4,700 but less than 5,000
0%
5,000 or more
0%
The Economist asks:

What will be the closing price per barrel for West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil on 26 August 2022, according to Bloomberg?

230 Forecasters • 956 Forecasts
Started Jan 21, 2022 06:00PM UTC
Closing Aug 26, 2022 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Less than $55.00
0%
Between $55.00 and $70.00, inclusive
0%
More than $70.00 but less than $85.00
2%
Between $85.00 and $100.00, inclusive
31%
More than $100.00 but less than $115.00
45%
$115.00 or more
22%
The Economist and Private Superforecasting Workshop ask:

Will Amazon.com begin to accept any cryptocurrency for purchases on the US site before 1 October 2022?

5%

Chance
365 Forecasters • 924 Forecasts
Started Jul 30, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC

What will be the closing yield for the US 10 yr Treasury on 30 December 2022?

196 Forecasters • 877 Forecasts
Started Oct 01, 2021 04:00AM UTC
Closing Dec 30, 2022 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Lower than 0%
0%
Between 0% and 1%, inclusive
0%
Higher than 1% but lower than 2%
5%
Between 2% and 3%, inclusive
58%
Higher than 3% but lower than 4%
36%
4% or higher
1%
The Economist asks:

When will the number of COVID-19 vaccine doses administered reach 12 billion worldwide?

175 Forecasters • 852 Forecasts
Started Nov 12, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Before 1 April 2022
0%
Between 1 April 2022 and 31 May 2022
10%
Between 1 June 2022 and 31 July 2022
90%
Between 1 August 2022 and 30 September 2022
0%
Not before 1 October 2022
0%
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username
Cancel