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asks:
Before 1 January 2022, will President Biden invite Prime Minister Boris Johnson to visit the White House?
100%
Chance
134 Forecasters • 264 Forecasts
Started
Aug 27, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closed
Sep 16, 2021 12:00AM UTC
Before 2 October 2021, will the Taliban submit credentials to the Secretary-General of the UN to represent Afghanistan for the 76th UN General Assembly session?
118 Forecasters • 438 Forecasts
Started
Aug 27, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closed
Oct 02, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
and
Tim Harford
ask:
Will the 26th UN Climate Change Conference of the Parties (COP26) announce the finalization of the "Paris Rulebook," the rules for implementing the 2015 Paris Agreement, before 16 November 2021?
100%
Chance
111 Forecasters • 284 Forecasts
Started
Aug 27, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closed
Nov 13, 2021 07:30PM UTC
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Before 2 October 2021, will the UN General Assembly recognize delegates from the National Unity Government (NUG) as representing Myanmar for the 76th General Assembly session?
100%
Chance
49 Forecasters • 160 Forecasts
Started
Jul 30, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closed
Sep 14, 2021 03:00PM UTC
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Will a member of the forces from an African country other than Mozambique be killed in a lethal confrontation in Cabo Delgado before 1 April 2022?
100%
Chance
64 Forecasters • 187 Forecasts
Started
Jun 30, 2021 09:00PM UTC
Closed
Sep 25, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Tolga
asks:
Will the presidents of Russia and Ukraine meet in person before 1 August 2021?
113 Forecasters • 297 Forecasts
Started
Apr 30, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closed
Aug 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Adam Grant
and
Tim Harford
ask:
What will be Saudi Arabia's crude oil production for July 2021, according to OPEC?
157 Forecasters • 558 Forecasts
Started
Apr 09, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closed
Aug 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Will the UN, a UN agency, and/or OECD member country publicly accuse Myanmar defense forces and/or law enforcement of using a toxic chemical against protesters to cause intentional death or physical harm through its toxic properties before 15 September 2021?
0%
Chance
126 Forecasters • 376 Forecasts
Started
Mar 26, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closed
Sep 15, 2021 07:01AM UTC
The
Mercator Institute for China Studies (MERICS)
asks:
Will France grant the China Global Television Network (CGTN) a license to broadcast in France before 1 January 2022?
100%
Chance
35 Forecasters • 59 Forecasts
Started
Feb 26, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closed
Mar 03, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Will there be a lethal confrontation between the national military forces, militia, and/or law enforcement personnel of India and the People's Republic of China before 1 December 2021?
0%
Chance
211 Forecasters • 611 Forecasts
Started
Feb 05, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closed
Dec 01, 2021 08:01AM UTC
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