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What percentage of the vote will Marine Le Pen win in the 2022 French presidential election runoff?

120 Forecasters • 346 Forecasts
Started Apr 11, 2022 08:00PM UTC
Closed Apr 24, 2022 07:01AM UTC
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Will the European Central Bank (ECB) announce it will discontinue its monthly net asset purchases under its Asset purchase program (APP) before 10 June 2022?

100%

Chance
42 Forecasters • 93 Forecasts
Started Mar 25, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jun 09, 2022 11:45AM UTC

What will Russian President Vladimir Putin's approval rating be in May 2022, according to the Levada Center?

128 Forecasters • 399 Forecasts
Started Mar 11, 2022 06:00PM UTC
Closed May 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
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Will Russia officially recognize the Donetsk People's Republic and/or the Luhansk People's Republic in Ukraine as independent states before 1 September 2022?

100%

Chance
99 Forecasters • 159 Forecasts
Started Feb 18, 2022 06:00PM UTC
Closed Feb 22, 2022 03:20PM UTC
asks:

Will the Conservative Party hold a vote of no confidence in Boris Johnson in 2022?

216 Forecasters • 736 Forecasts
Started Feb 04, 2022 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jun 06, 2022 08:00PM UTC
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Private Superforecasting Workshop and Tylerdurden03 ask:

Between 4 February 2022 and 31 December 2022, will a country formally progress in the NATO accession process?

100%

Chance
284 Forecasters • 840 Forecasts
Started Feb 04, 2022 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jun 29, 2022 10:02PM UTC

Before 1 January 2023, will North Korea launch an ICBM with an estimated range of at least 10,000 km?

100%

Chance
93 Forecasters • 334 Forecasts
Started Jan 14, 2022 06:00PM UTC
Closed Mar 30, 2022 02:19PM UTC
The Economist and DippySkippy ask:

Before 23 June 2022, will Boris Johnson cease to be prime minister of the United Kingdom?

0%

Chance
538 Forecasters • 2282 Forecasts
Started Dec 23, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jun 23, 2022 07:01AM UTC
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